South American Leagues · resolved market
EC Vitória vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b9a13701237a1476b30afa4264b0adf05dd5ce48f0d84b7d79aa243217d9522
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,092
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,106
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,092 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 41c | 12,271$5,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,239.61 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 10,099$5,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,951.49 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f8…4078backed Under | 11c | 2,500$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.03 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Under | 10c | 2,118$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.09 | 110 | 25.5%28 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed Under | 54c | 1,262$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.48 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 46c | 1,222$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.03 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 47c | 1,130$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.29 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Under | 54c | 1,018$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.42 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.5wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -52%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 883.18$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.61 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 59c | 686.24$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.96 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 45c | 662.26$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8220…b081backed Under | 47c | 642.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…7babbacked Over | 28c | 441.97$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.32 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7831…6778backed Under | 30c | 440.71$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 54c | 394.26$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.16 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 70c | 356.71$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.1 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under | 62c | 340.32$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 59c | 258.91$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.8 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under | 24c | 218.57$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.73 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 57c | 210$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.7 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Over | 74c | 203.01$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.79 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed Over | 74c | 201.41$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.81 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e6…c339backed Under | 13c | 200.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9152…abfbbacked Under | 61c | 196.95$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 70cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 76c | 190$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.25 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 58c | 183.5$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 193 | 49.2%95 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 37c | 154.95$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.08 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 62c | 146.92$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.09 | 213 | 66.7%142 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Over | 75c | 137.76$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.73 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 39c | 120.31$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.39 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 78c | 113.07$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.67 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccc…a5d5backed Under | 15c | 104.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 18c | 102.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.32 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b3…de25backed Over | 51c | 98.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 59c | 96.58$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.98 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 59c | 69.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.01 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 41c | 55.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…a398backed Over | 48c | 54.03$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 43c | 49.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.31 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked Over | 43c | 47.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 61c | 41.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b6…886ebacked Under | 77c | 39.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Over | 54c | 37.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Under | 67c | 36.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed Over | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 70c | 31.55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 80c | 25.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 168 | 64.9%109 W · 59 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 74c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Over | 52c | 20.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Under | 59c | 20.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 58c | 20.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- EC Vitória vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5this page
- EC Vitória vs. EC Bahia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- EC Vitória vs. EC Bahia: O/U 0.5Over won
- EC Vitória vs. EC Bahia: O/U 2.5Under won
- EC Vitória vs. EC Bahia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: EC Bahia (-1.5)EC Bahia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.