Cricket · resolved market
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Bahrain vs Mongolia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ba8893365ddcebf7fcac68af427e537397d8b09fc44b35bb9a81efb5f073135
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mongoliaof Bahrain, Mongolia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,533
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Mongolia | 15c | 1,347$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.63 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe28…3c60backed Bahrain | 66c | 670.78$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.71 | 198 | 43.4%86 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Bahrain | 15c | 491.57$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.22 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Bahrain | 19c | 418.72$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.07 | 271 | 41.3%112 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mongolia | 34c | 402.87$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.8 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Mongolia | 35c | 400$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.77 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Bahrain | 63c | 366.29$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.76 | 310 | 27.4%85 W · 225 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…39f5backed Mongolia | 71c | 365.27$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.27 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Bahrain | 47c | 220.03$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.47 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x064c…dd0dbacked Mongolia | 79c | 213.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Bahrain | 67c | 204.56$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.49 | 270 | 29.6%80 W · 190 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Bahrain | 14c | 188.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 194 | 50%97 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079a…d3dfbacked Mongolia | 61c | 164$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.52 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Mongolia | 27c | 151.07$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.44 | 94 | 29.8%28 W · 66 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Bahrain | 40c | 151$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.63 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…d599backed Bahrain | 78c | 120$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.9 | 202 | 51.5%104 W · 98 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Mongolia | 23c | 115.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.71 | 319 | 40.1%128 W · 191 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2365backed Mongolia | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…d3b2backed Bahrain | 78c | 94.83$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.97 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127d…f4dbbacked Bahrain | 80c | 75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Mongolia | 36c | 67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Bahrain | 37c | 66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Mongolia | 26c | 65.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.81 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Mongolia | 18c | 61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ab…2744backed Bahrain | 73c | 60.38$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Bahrain | 30c | 59.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f3…03dcbacked Bahrain | 37c | 54.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e38…b4cbbacked Mongolia | 40c | 53.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Mongolia | 63c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Mongolia | 30c | 34.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Bahrain | 34c | 33.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 220 | 36.4%80 W · 140 L | -23.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Mongolia | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +8.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e1…6935backed Bahrain | 41c | 25.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb4…f3a4backed Mongolia | 64c | 18.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.