South American Leagues · resolved market
Botafogo FR vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bc0d4977872b9102c4f0cd0c537847ff354a3513af2dbb7974c41ed52ddc2bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,199
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,811
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,199 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3151…206dbacked Over | 80c | 2,577$2,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 34c | 2,111$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.95 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 29c | 2,017$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.55 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 80c | 1,228$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.69 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 2c | 690.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 20c | 580.9$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.77 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 58c | 557.99$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.36 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 32c | 521.01$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.83 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 67c | 494.3$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.57 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 59c | 324.2$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.57 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 20c | 253.14$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.63 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 42c | 183.85$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.22 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 67c | 150.48$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.27 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 67c | 137.42$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.35 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 57c | 128.18$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.12 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 80c | 123.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 76c | 116.6$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.89 | 88 | 87.5%77 W · 11 L | +19.9wins | +0.23per pick | 65cpaid | +42%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 64c | 114.78$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +6.1wins | +0.18per pick | 33cpaid | +67%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 70c | 98.2$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 77c | 97.34$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 30c | 89.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 77c | 84.27$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 66c | 54.58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 67c | 53.1$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913f…d2ebbacked Over | 61c | 48.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 30c | 46.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 67c | 39.96$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 67c | 39.83$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 67c | 39.69$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Over | 66c | 37.05$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabd5…e713backed Over | 62c | 31.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd42…9588backed Over | 69c | 28.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…8eadbacked Over | 71c | 27.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f6…4288backed Over | 75c | 26.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f0…5d25backed Over | 77c | 24.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.44per pick | 58cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 67c | 21.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb017…9f48backed Over | 70c | 21.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 66c | 20.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 69c | 19.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 70c | 19.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 62c | 18.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…b766backed Over | 70c | 18.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Over | 62c | 17.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Botafogo FR vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 1.5this page
- Botafogo FR vs. Coritiba FBC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Botafogo FR vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Botafogo FR vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Botafogo FR vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Botafogo FR (-1.5)Coritiba FBC won
- Spread: Botafogo FR (-2.5)Coritiba FBC won
- Spread: Coritiba FBC (-2.5)Botafogo FR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.