South American Leagues · resolved market
Botafogo FR vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbd2be6a2799fcf3ea33701dbf750738083eda366a9cbd64865b5014a49f233d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,470
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,719
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,470 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 58c | 4,062$2,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,355.98 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 42c | 2,311$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.28 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 42c | 1,534$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.48 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 72c | 1,381$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.67 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 60c | 1,217$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.96 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 42c | 1,152$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.9 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 45c | 1,074$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.94 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Over | 44c | 436.6$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.29 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 44c | 434.88$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.53 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 42c | 296$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.68 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 283.97$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.33 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aae…d605backed Over | 63c | 247.77$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 43c | 230.87$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.67 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 46c | 200.14$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.03 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked Under | 13c | 139.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked Over | 71c | 130.58$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.87 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 40c | 121.4$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.48 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 54c | 107.7$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.16 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…ce7fbacked Over | 47c | 101.97$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 42c | 99.96$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.97 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 43c | 99.47$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87df…48f3backed Over | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7356…04cfbacked Over | 45c | 85.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 30c | 79.83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.88 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Over | 45c | 75.24$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +36%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 51c | 68.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 55c | 55.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 42c | 55.21$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.02 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 37c | 54.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +6.1wins | +0.18per pick | 33cpaid | +67%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 52c | 51.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Over | 43c | 44.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed Over | 56c | 38.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 58c | 35.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bb…0ef8backed Under | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eab…8859backed Under | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 44c | 24.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 44c | 24.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Over | 42c | 23.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 213 | 59.6%127 W · 86 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Botafogo FR vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 2.5this page
- Botafogo FR vs. Coritiba FBC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Botafogo FR vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Botafogo FR vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Botafogo FR vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Botafogo FR (-1.5)Coritiba FBC won
- Spread: Botafogo FR (-2.5)Coritiba FBC won
- Spread: Coritiba FBC (-2.5)Botafogo FR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.