Tennis · resolved market
Set 2 Winner: Svrcina vs Tien
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bc496cca2f65764b1bc38990bb1259b5fb0da9573c94751efd8aa9035bb55b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tienof Svrcina, Tien
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,474
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,028
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,474 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5bf0…696fbacked Tien | 77c | 395.28$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.91 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x304c…def8backed Tien | 69c | 165.7$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.37 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Svrcina | 31c | 165.7$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.37 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Tien | 52c | 142.22$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.27 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Svrcina | 23c | 117.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Tien | 68c | 100.57$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.22 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Svrcina | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Svrcina | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 432 | 50.5%218 W · 214 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Svrcina | 29c | 99.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 346 | 50.6%175 W · 171 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1226…f998backed Tien | 54c | 98.61$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.61 | 299 | 40.1%120 W · 179 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Svrcina | 48c | 89.25$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Svrcina | 48c | 68.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Svrcina | 23c | 52.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 485 | 52.4%254 W · 231 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Svrcina | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Svrcina | 44c | 24.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 2 Winner: Svrcina vs Tienthis page
- Dalibor Svrcina vs. Learner Tien: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Svrcina vs TienTien won
- Set 3 Winner: Svrcina vs TienSvrcina won
- Set Handicap: Tien (-1.5) vs Svrcina (+1.5)Tien won
- Set Handicap: Tien (-2.5) vs Svrcina (+2.5)Svrcina won
- Svrcina vs. Tien: Set 4 Games O/U 9.5Under won
- Wimbledon ATP: Dalibor Svrcina vs Learner TienLearner Tien won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.