Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Tien (-2.5) vs Svrcina (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9efbe1e9cf92eab863539cfa8390885f2bb2b0809782eaadb4a7b2f9d66a879
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Svrcinaof Tien, Svrcina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,894
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,118
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,894 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Svrcina | 32c | 475$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.21 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Tien | 75c | 429.27$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.98 | 385 | 57.1%220 W · 165 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1226…f998backed Tien | 48c | 394.33$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 299 | 40.1%120 W · 179 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Svrcina | 47c | 299.98$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.99 | 364 | 35.2%128 W · 236 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Tien | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Tien | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Svrcina | 50c | 139.96$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc2…a9ebbacked Svrcina | 48c | 129.52$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.35 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Tien | 66c | 121.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.42 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Svrcina | 45c | 103.85$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Tien | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 346 | 50.6%175 W · 171 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Svrcina | 28c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Svrcina | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 432 | 50.5%218 W · 214 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Svrcina | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Svrcina | 44c | 92.57$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Svrcina | 46c | 87.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.51 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Svrcina | 50c | 86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 178 | 29.2%52 W · 126 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Tien | 53c | 51.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Tien | 80c | 49$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x831f…cc50backed Tien | 54c | 45.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 218 | 41.3%90 W · 128 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Tien | 50c | 42.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…18cebacked Svrcina | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Svrcina | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Tien | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 593 | 66.8%396 W · 197 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Tien | 53c | 36.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 544 | 50.6%275 W · 269 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4a…3026backed Tien | 53c | 35.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Tien | 54c | 34.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Svrcina | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Tien | 75c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Tien (-2.5) vs Svrcina (+2.5)this page
- Dalibor Svrcina vs. Learner Tien: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Svrcina vs TienTien won
- Set 2 Winner: Svrcina vs TienTien won
- Set 3 Winner: Svrcina vs TienSvrcina won
- Set Handicap: Tien (-1.5) vs Svrcina (+1.5)Tien won
- Svrcina vs. Tien: Set 4 Games O/U 9.5Under won
- Wimbledon ATP: Dalibor Svrcina vs Learner TienLearner Tien won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.