Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Tien (-1.5) vs Svrcina (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e133f12f67cf3b9184d36781f095ac00aedf0212b8dc2bade02804199adbacf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tienof Tien, Svrcina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,226
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,153
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,226 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Tien | 78c | 3,802$2,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.69 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Svrcina | 21c | 1,283$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.39 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Svrcina | 23c | 1,128$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.21 | 488 | 42%205 W · 283 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Svrcina | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Svrcina | 22c | 986.97$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.6 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…7d17backed Tien | 78c | 835$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.15 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Svrcina | 23c | 600$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Tien | 79c | 507.08$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.08 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Tien | 78c | 328.21$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.21 | 351 | 64.1%225 W · 126 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Tien | 80c | 253.34$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.41 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Svrcina | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Svrcina | 23c | 194.8$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x735c…55edbacked Tien | 77c | 194.8$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Svrcina | 21c | 185$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Svrcina | 21c | 184.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1226…f998backed Tien | 79c | 101.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 299 | 40.1%120 W · 179 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Svrcina | 22c | 79.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 472 | 51.3%242 W · 230 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…98a7backed Svrcina | 23c | 66.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 172 | 42.4%73 W · 99 L | -17.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Tien | 75c | 62.4$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 643 | 50.2%323 W · 320 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc251…a5d3backed Tien | 77c | 57.14$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b7…fd93backed Svrcina | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Tien | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Svrcina | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Tien (-1.5) vs Svrcina (+1.5)this page
- Dalibor Svrcina vs. Learner Tien: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Svrcina vs TienTien won
- Set 2 Winner: Svrcina vs TienTien won
- Set 3 Winner: Svrcina vs TienSvrcina won
- Set Handicap: Tien (-2.5) vs Svrcina (+2.5)Svrcina won
- Svrcina vs. Tien: Set 4 Games O/U 9.5Under won
- Wimbledon ATP: Dalibor Svrcina vs Learner TienLearner Tien won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.