Tennis · resolved market
ITF Monastir: Nicolas Robert vs Roan Jones
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bcbe8b946dfc9cfba3911055b9d5fbcd90de8d4d9c125ff3bf3848865551057
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nicolas Robertof Nicolas Robert, Roan Jones
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,645
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,832
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,645 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Nicolas Robert | 76c | 1,980$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.14 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Roan Jones | 35c | 1,689$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.24 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Roan Jones | 35c | 1,288$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.44 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Roan Jones | 60c | 1,260$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 624 | 57.7%360 W · 264 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nicolas Robert | 40c | 1,056$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.97 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb474…a4bcbacked Nicolas Robert | 80c | 1,000$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.82 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Nicolas Robert | 41c | 600$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.48 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Roan Jones | 14c | 550$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Nicolas Robert | 65c | 527.94$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.03 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…0454backed Roan Jones | 61c | 505.55$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.31 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…1ffcbacked Roan Jones | 14c | 500$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Roan Jones | 59c | 332.31$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.06 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked Roan Jones | 19c | 315.78$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Nicolas Robert | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…19e2backed Roan Jones | 19c | 280$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +11.5wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…b953backed Roan Jones | 19c | 250$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Nicolas Robert | 40c | 241.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.04 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Nicolas Robert | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 271 | 51.3%139 W · 132 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Nicolas Robert | 45c | 222.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.76 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Nicolas Robert | 65c | 202$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.7 | 367 | 57.8%212 W · 155 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Roan Jones | 18c | 163.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Roan Jones | 56c | 151$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.56 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Nicolas Robert | 65c | 150.59$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.56 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Roan Jones | 24c | 126.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Roan Jones | 58c | 116.13$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.36 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Nicolas Robert | 43c | 115.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 363 | 49.6%180 W · 183 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad1…8151backed Roan Jones | 58c | 109.17$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.3 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Roan Jones | 56c | 104.17$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.34 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Roan Jones | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Nicolas Robert | 75c | 90$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27a4…d44cbacked Roan Jones | 59c | 84.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Nicolas Robert | 40c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Nicolas Robert | 65c | 70.09$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +7.4wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…f311backed Nicolas Robert | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed Nicolas Robert | 54c | 58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Roan Jones | 59c | 56.47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc27e…d4fbbacked Roan Jones | 55c | 53.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Roan Jones | 56c | 52.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Nicolas Robert | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 264 | 41.7%110 W · 154 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa822…9459backed Nicolas Robert | 52c | 38.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecc5…5fdebacked Nicolas Robert | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 243 | 44%107 W · 136 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Nicolas Robert | 42c | 33.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7d…2c2cbacked Roan Jones | 37c | 31.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…6a58backed Nicolas Robert | 42c | 27.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Nicolas Robert | 41c | 24.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Roan Jones | 57c | 21.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Roan Jones | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 516 | 44.8%231 W · 285 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Roan Jones | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 324 | 52.5%170 W · 154 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.