TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: megoshort vs OlyBet SB (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
megoshortof megoshort, OlyBet SB
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,080
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,125

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,080 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6c2b…36f4backed OlyBet SB0c10,230$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.23250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked OlyBet SB47c6,624$3,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,103.127,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5407…251cbacked megoshort52c3,679$1,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,765.9814857.4%85 W · 63 L+11.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+22.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3db4…d69bbacked megoshort55c3,100$1,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,394.9975056.8%426 W · 324 L+47.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf968…7c31backed OlyBet SB31c2,235$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.85333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4b1…1f3fbacked megoshort60c1,789$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.79875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+27.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked megoshort47c1,748$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.0762738.8%243 W · 384 L-31.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37fd…0c68backed megoshort69c1,603$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.93475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+47.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed OlyBet SB48c1,354$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.1665546.9%307 W · 348 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedfe…0216backed OlyBet SB31c1,255$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6838…f783backed megoshort69c1,039$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.092100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+115.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed megoshort39c1,027$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.715,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked megoshort54c993$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.0636253.3%193 W · 169 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed OlyBet SB49c885.6$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.641,10950.5%560 W · 549 L-3.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75c2…cf8dbacked megoshort69c753$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+43.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeeba…09f1backed OlyBet SB31c703$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.9320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf6b…a179backed OlyBet SB44c675.73$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.075349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed OlyBet SB50c564.22$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.6347053.2%250 W · 220 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x883a…73b0backed megoshort46c558.3$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.8911054.5%60 W · 50 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed megoshort43c509$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.617230.8%53 W · 119 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce6e…c101backed megoshort69c501$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.31560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed megoshort54c442.9$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.384,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed OlyBet SB54c424.31$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.91,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed megoshort63c372$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.2116829.2%49 W · 119 L-14.4wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-41.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed megoshort52c352.88$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.2756732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d78…b8b9backed OlyBet SB42c347.24$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.9816550.3%83 W · 82 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe6d…9d6abacked OlyBet SB46c347.02$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.398047.5%38 W · 42 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked megoshort48c336.44$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.053,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed OlyBet SB47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.878348.4%379 W · 404 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed megoshort40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18038835.8%139 W · 249 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9d2…8c1bbacked megoshort69c297$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.072100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+115.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed megoshort66c281.99$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0446843.4%203 W · 265 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x523e…3128backed OlyBet SB48c268$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.6415544.5%69 W · 86 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c8c…2359backed OlyBet SB45c266.58$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.799351.6%48 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked OlyBet SB49c247.69$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.875,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed megoshort60c243$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.8729244.5%130 W · 162 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed megoshort78c238.85$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.7239245.9%180 W · 212 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed OlyBet SB36c234.76$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.142,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed megoshort17c234$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.2245224.3%110 W · 342 L-52.4wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-45.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe7be…908dbacked OlyBet SB46c220.98$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.4515352.3%80 W · 73 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e88…df66backed OlyBet SB47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93ed…a4cbbacked megoshort36c210.12$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.7226048.8%127 W · 133 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked OlyBet SB48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036151.8%187 W · 174 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed OlyBet SB48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.741,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x63ad…790cbacked megoshort79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.059352.7%49 W · 44 L+10.0wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+23%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xedd0…731cbacked megoshort53c190.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.1933060.9%201 W · 129 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked OlyBet SB51c187$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.4538858.2%226 W · 162 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaec…7396backed megoshort76c185.36$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.361435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked OlyBet SB51c184.2$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.0340635.7%145 W · 261 L-33.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked megoshort52c167.71$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.1929555.3%163 W · 132 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed OlyBet SB49c161.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5695849.8%477 W · 481 L-17.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed megoshort68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0620462.7%128 W · 76 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed OlyBet SB49c143.16$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.232443.5%141 W · 183 L-15.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8f…870ebacked OlyBet SB21c142.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022542.7%96 W · 129 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6aa7…db93backed megoshort72c138.47$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4721867%146 W · 72 L+0.7wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed OlyBet SB62c138.35$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.432,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc49d…91a8backed megoshort58c133.67$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.014542.2%19 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cd6…ff34backed megoshort69c132.94$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.044856.3%27 W · 21 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed OlyBet SB48c118.72$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.144,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa442…dca3backed megoshort68c104.76$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5230254.3%164 W · 138 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fe2…0d54backed megoshort67c104.48$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.486758.2%39 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7244…b819backed megoshort59c101.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6914853.4%79 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe037…8a91backed megoshort58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x382d…eb3abacked OlyBet SB31c96.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3025250.4%127 W · 125 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x023d…23acbacked OlyBet SB54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504151.2%21 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed OlyBet SB39c91.63$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.072,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x6722…865fbacked megoshort59c85.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4127754.9%152 W · 125 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed OlyBet SB48c83.3$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.991,04645%471 W · 575 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed OlyBet SB37c81.68$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.485,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed OlyBet SB48c81.33$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8428434.9%99 W · 185 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked OlyBet SB54c80.83$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.652,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed OlyBet SB28c75$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9345240.3%182 W · 270 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x92f8…0e1fbacked megoshort80c73.8$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7612946.5%60 W · 69 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e0…e850backed megoshort56c71.84$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.841741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed megoshort54c71.24$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.772,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed OlyBet SB46c70.19$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1949143%211 W · 280 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked OlyBet SB22c66$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.521,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf11a…1002backed megoshort40c64$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.427848.6%135 W · 143 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed megoshort25c56.29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3622324.7%55 W · 168 L-21.2wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-39.5%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x0386…2b1abacked megoshort25c55.73$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.870036.1%253 W · 447 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+26.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea37…94f3backed megoshort54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5632951.7%170 W · 159 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7fe…24e5backed megoshort28c55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.68326.5%22 W · 61 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked megoshort62c54$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3548948.7%238 W · 251 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed megoshort57c52$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3649850.2%250 W · 248 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked OlyBet SB57c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.515935.2%56 W · 103 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3685…6d99backed megoshort65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.312948.1%62 W · 67 L+8.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+21.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe757…c161backed megoshort58c48.8$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.361936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e2c…359fbacked OlyBet SB49c46.2$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6411057.3%63 W · 47 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c19…859cbacked megoshort44c45.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.612152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed megoshort25c45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7564439.8%256 W · 388 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x195f…8397backed OlyBet SB47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf62b…5bbfbacked OlyBet SB47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed OlyBet SB48c42.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.439946.4%185 W · 214 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf949…5643backed OlyBet SB46c42$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.32650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+26.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c05…d733backed megoshort47c41.57$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.111040%4 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed OlyBet SB37c38.73$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4610426%27 W · 77 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-53.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed megoshort56c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8415965.4%104 W · 55 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaa4…b815backed megoshort45c33.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+124.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed megoshort59c32.19$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.146848.5%33 W · 35 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6e1…6579backed OlyBet SB48c29.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.394955.1%27 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.