Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Army Black Knights vs. American Eagles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c060799737c47cb5aeac89f48c1d83ffb0529283cc9a1efb422824a5e37c38c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- American Eaglesof Army Black Knights, American Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,080
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,080 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Army Black Knights | 8c | 1,421$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.91 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Army Black Knights | 31c | 1,193$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.47 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Army Black Knights | 18c | 866.1$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.64 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed American Eagles | 79c | 554.77$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.22 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Army Black Knights | 20c | 510.94$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.19 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed American Eagles | 79c | 454.64$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.04 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed American Eagles | 73c | 415.34$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.5 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed American Eagles | 67c | 256.54$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.66 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Army Black Knights | 12c | 226.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed American Eagles | 73c | 200.58$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.63 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Army Black Knights | 20c | 200.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7405…4aa4backed Army Black Knights | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Army Black Knights | 14c | 199.46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…0debbacked Army Black Knights | 11c | 182.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 26.5%18 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Army Black Knights | 9c | 160.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da9…93b3backed Army Black Knights | 22c | 159.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Army Black Knights | 20c | 132$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed American Eagles | 78c | 123.86$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Army Black Knights | 26c | 101$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Army Black Knights | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked American Eagles | 74c | 98.7$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0b…44fdbacked Army Black Knights | 11c | 88.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed American Eagles | 74c | 86.11$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Army Black Knights | 18c | 75.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c4…d7dfbacked Army Black Knights | 19c | 52.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Army Black Knights | 34c | 44.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 227 | 30.4%69 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked American Eagles | 80c | 20.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Army Black Knights vs. American Eaglesthis page
- Army Black Knights vs. American Eagles: O/U 144.5Under won
- Spread: American Eagles (-9.5)American Eagles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.