Tennis · resolved market
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Mirra Andreeva vs Jaqueline Cristian
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c15956dd76233f4b5032a593e82371ea969ce748fcb88d55aa86bddd70b9a0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Andreevaof Andreeva, Cristian
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,345
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Cristian | 8c | 8,891$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.39 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Cristian | 11c | 4,971$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.32 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Cristian | 14c | 3,171$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…0b58backed Cristian | 6c | 2,000$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 127 | 22%28 W · 99 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cristian | 8c | 1,853$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.1 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Cristian | 10c | 1,489$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.97 | 359 | 32.6%117 W · 242 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Cristian | 13c | 1,151$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.1 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Cristian | 3c | 1,023$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Cristian | 11c | 1,014$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Cristian | 6c | 1,000$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 200 | 39%78 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…dd00backed Cristian | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Cristian | 14c | 957.14$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 394 | 31%122 W · 272 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97a0…da35backed Cristian | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 479 | 46.3%222 W · 257 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Cristian | 10c | 668.46$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 378 | 54%204 W · 174 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c98…6f55backed Cristian | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Cristian | 10c | 425$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 307 | 50.5%155 W · 152 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Cristian | 19c | 368.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 151 | 17.9%27 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Cristian | 15c | 306$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Cristian | 13c | 300$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 248 | 26.2%65 W · 183 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Cristian | 13c | 296.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…3314backed Cristian | 17c | 288.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Cristian | 8c | 268.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed Cristian | 14c | 264.55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…106cbacked Cristian | 11c | 255.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9e…7505backed Cristian | 10c | 250.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…718abacked Cristian | 5c | 241.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Cristian | 14c | 235$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Cristian | 5c | 225$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 93 | 4.3%4 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Cristian | 14c | 209.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 593 | 48.9%290 W · 303 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Cristian | 21c | 209.52$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 174 | 32.2%56 W · 118 L | -15.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Cristian | 9c | 172.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 283 | 22.3%63 W · 220 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Cristian | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd7…caa5backed Cristian | 11c | 158.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Cristian | 8c | 129.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Andreeva | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…c936backed Cristian | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d0…fa43backed Cristian | 11c | 113.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 108 | 32.4%35 W · 73 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Cristian | 13c | 106.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Cristian | 17c | 102.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Cristian | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc86e…8dfcbacked Cristian | 15c | 83.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…b6c9backed Andreeva | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 118 | 65.3%77 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Mirra Andreeva vs Jaqueline Cristianthis page
- Andreeva vs. Cristian: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Andreeva vs CristianAndreeva won
- Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Cristian (+1.5)Andreeva won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.