MLB · resolved market
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c6c51ad08d0940a70fdb3eed0f591a42ee435708ed53bb92fc5d73b493e91d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Angelsof Colorado Rockies, Los Angeles Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,790
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,790 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Colorado Rockies | 0c | 3,721$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Colorado Rockies | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 999.75$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.88 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Colorado Rockies | 49c | 598.96$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.49 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Colorado Rockies | 11c | 400$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 307$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.43 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Colorado Rockies | 48c | 301.39$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.43 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Colorado Rockies | 49c | 259$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.91 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 246.41$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.74 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 243.38$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.26 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 43c | 187.02$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.82 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 121.67$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.62 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Colorado Rockies | 49c | 105$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 310 | 38.4%119 W · 191 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 100.24$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.11 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Colorado Rockies | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Colorado Rockies | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 82.69$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.69 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 81$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Colorado Rockies | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7045…f88bbacked Colorado Rockies | 49c | 73.14$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Colorado Rockies | 39c | 70.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.77 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.47 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 53.3$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.58 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Colorado Rockies | 46c | 52.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…dd4fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Colorado Rockies | 48c | 48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Colorado Rockies | 32c | 46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 73c | 43.84$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 247 | 48.6%120 W · 127 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Colorado Rockies | 58c | 41.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…ad71backed Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Colorado Rockies | 48c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 28.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 23.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -23.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 22.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba6…2a7ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0673…afabbacked Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Colorado Rockies | 59c | 17.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Colorado Rockies | 69c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.