South American Leagues · resolved market
CD Guadalajara vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c8475440daf2d60ed50ba3acfc46d5f3baaec89d0b6fceb200587b56595dede
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,505
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 65c | 1,250$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.5 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 39c | 1,008$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.95 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb026…9c7bbacked Under | 25c | 910$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.35 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 34c | 871$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.23 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 64c | 786.17$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.74 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31df…950ebacked Under | 77c | 610.14$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Under | 65c | 600$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 24c | 588.65$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.46 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 57c | 327.89$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.22 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Under | 67c | 254$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.18 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 49c | 207.22$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.49 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 74c | 104.51$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…0b6ebacked Under | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 46c | 67.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 42c | 47.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 34c | 45.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.35 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Under | 66c | 43.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 36c | 42.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…24b1backed Under | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 168 | 64.9%109 W · 59 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 34c | 39.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Under | 65c | 33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 72c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 36c | 28.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 65c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Guadalajara vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 3.5this page
- CD Guadalajara vs. Club Tijuana: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CD Guadalajara vs. Club Tijuana: Club Tijuana O/U 0.5Over won
- CD Guadalajara vs. Club Tijuana: Club Tijuana O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Guadalajara vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 0.5Over won
- CD Guadalajara vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Guadalajara vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 2.5Over won
- CD Guadalajara vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 4.5Over won
- CD Guadalajara vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: CD Guadalajara (-1.5)CD Guadalajara won
- Spread: CD Guadalajara (-2.5)CD Guadalajara won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.