South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: CD Guadalajara (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bde11194262aacadff143e1e5fbb4faeaa2ffa710726e01d8e7fff19d08fc74
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CD Guadalajaraof CD Guadalajara, Club Tijuana
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $143,158
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $141,859
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,158 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed CD Guadalajara | 43c | 127,083$54,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,605.97 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Club Tijuana | 56c | 30,941$17,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,330.49 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Club Tijuana | 57c | 19,317$11,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,050.16 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Club Tijuana | 58c | 16,546$9,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,632.69 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Club Tijuana | 58c | 10,273$5,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,972.64 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Club Tijuana | 59c | 7,014$4,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,112.1 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Club Tijuana | 56c | 5,300$2,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,968 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Club Tijuana | 56c | 4,793$2,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,684.33 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Club Tijuana | 62c | 4,229$2,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,637.25 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Club Tijuana | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.76 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Club Tijuana | 56c | 2,984$1,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670.89 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Club Tijuana | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.99 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Club Tijuana | 57c | 1,756$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.93 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Club Tijuana | 56c | 1,515$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.4 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Club Tijuana | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.99 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -6.4wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Club Tijuana | 62c | 1,370$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.4 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Club Tijuana | 56c | 1,023$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.89 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…23e8backed CD Guadalajara | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.21 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed CD Guadalajara | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 213 | 66.7%142 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Club Tijuana | 56c | 986.02$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.17 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Club Tijuana | 59c | 930$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.37 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Club Tijuana | 56c | 892$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.52 | 310 | 39.7%123 W · 187 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Club Tijuana | 56c | 461$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.88 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Club Tijuana | 58c | 299.55$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.46 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Club Tijuana | 57c | 296$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.15 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Club Tijuana | 57c | 249.5$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.69 | 193 | 49.2%95 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…0b6ebacked Club Tijuana | 61c | 246.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Club Tijuana | 62c | 226.3$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.31 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked CD Guadalajara | 37c | 221.75$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.7 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Club Tijuana | 5c | 203.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Club Tijuana | 60c | 200.12$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.07 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…3e7dbacked Club Tijuana | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Club Tijuana | 57c | 185.16$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.17 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Club Tijuana | 58c | 184.32$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.35 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Club Tijuana | 57c | 161.35$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.87 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5f…f7aebacked Club Tijuana | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Club Tijuana | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Club Tijuana | 57c | 149.18$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.03 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Club Tijuana | 59c | 135.8$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.97 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Club Tijuana | 57c | 131.58$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Club Tijuana | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Club Tijuana | 60c | 96$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.63 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Club Tijuana | 59c | 94$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.16 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked CD Guadalajara | 37c | 91.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.95 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Club Tijuana | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Club Tijuana | 58c | 78.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.61 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Club Tijuana | 62c | 75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…f409backed Club Tijuana | 57c | 65.69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.57 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked CD Guadalajara | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Club Tijuana | 57c | 59.3$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.74 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Club Tijuana | 62c | 55.84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Club Tijuana | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Club Tijuana | 62c | 48.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Club Tijuana | 58c | 46.47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 142 | 64.1%91 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed Club Tijuana | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf3…2286backed Club Tijuana | 63c | 43.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Club Tijuana | 59c | 42.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec80…7298backed CD Guadalajara | 36c | 41.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Club Tijuana | 59c | 40.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92dc…eb9dbacked Club Tijuana | 58c | 40.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Club Tijuana | 57c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Club Tijuana | 57c | 34.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e17…2412backed Club Tijuana | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Club Tijuana | 59c | 32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Club Tijuana | 58c | 27.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed CD Guadalajara | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Club Tijuana | 59c | 22.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df4…bbc4backed Club Tijuana | 63c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed Club Tijuana | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.7wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Club Tijuana | 60c | 18.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: CD Guadalajara (-1.5)this page
- CD Guadalajara vs. Club Tijuana: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CD Guadalajara vs. Club Tijuana: Club Tijuana O/U 0.5Over won
- CD Guadalajara vs. Club Tijuana: Club Tijuana O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Guadalajara vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 0.5Over won
- CD Guadalajara vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Guadalajara vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 2.5Over won
- CD Guadalajara vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 3.5Over won
- CD Guadalajara vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 4.5Over won
- CD Guadalajara vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: CD Guadalajara (-2.5)CD Guadalajara won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.