South American Leagues · resolved market
CD Guadalajara vs. Club Tijuana: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x544760d44205a46d88afb254e43ef7653119ae738ed330d2e396280f5499f86a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,982
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 28c | 1,100$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 54c | 1,086$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.32 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 72c | 949.25$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.46 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 59c | 614.99$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.13 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 50c | 498.94$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.39 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 50c | 448.52$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.27 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 48c | 420$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.02 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 51c | 346.83$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.87 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 54c | 246$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.51 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Yes | 75c | 200$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Yes | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.1 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 52c | 189.24$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.33 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked No | 9c | 175$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…3e7dbacked No | 54c | 168.85$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.18 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 9c | 161$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 46c | 160$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.95 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 56c | 148.28$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.02 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed No | 49c | 106$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.08 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 47c | 49.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed No | 46c | 39.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8675…725dbacked No | 59c | 38.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 51c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 60c | 33.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 39c | 29.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e8…9cf2backed Yes | 52c | 19.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Guadalajara vs. Club Tijuana: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CD Guadalajara vs. Club Tijuana: Club Tijuana O/U 0.5Over won
- CD Guadalajara vs. Club Tijuana: Club Tijuana O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Guadalajara vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 0.5Over won
- CD Guadalajara vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Guadalajara vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 2.5Over won
- CD Guadalajara vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 3.5Over won
- CD Guadalajara vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 4.5Over won
- CD Guadalajara vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: CD Guadalajara (-1.5)CD Guadalajara won
- Spread: CD Guadalajara (-2.5)CD Guadalajara won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.