Serie A · resolved market
Juventus FC leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cfbbdcedf77648b91aa779d3ed2b7f5688b26cf265b6028acaa0326fb8ae2b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,042
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,319
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,042 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7402…8020backed Yes | 59c | 11,500$6,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,745.56 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 42c | 6,035$2,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500.24 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda6…84c5backed No | 40c | 3,261$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,964.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 41c | 2,218$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.04 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 466.73$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.99 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 37c | 336.02$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.08 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 40c | 311.05$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.29 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 36c | 278.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.32 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 58c | 273.41$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.62 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 124 | 22.6%28 W · 96 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 42c | 198$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.84 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…d869backed Yes | 63c | 190$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0dc…0030backed Yes | 64c | 184.67$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…0114backed Yes | 62c | 172.73$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.28 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -69%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1619…7554backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b4…1483backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked No | 37c | 110$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 37c | 93.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.83 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed No | 42c | 84.88$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.23 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3aab…aa7dbacked Yes | 62c | 81.87$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38bb…2fcfbacked Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 66cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1d…43debacked No | 38c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 37c | 69$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.47 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 40c | 58.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb598…7d52backed Yes | 63c | 50.95$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 36c | 48.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5660…27e6backed Yes | 64c | 46.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecda…6f0abacked No | 38c | 42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked No | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Yes | 63c | 31.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0514…def7backed Yes | 62c | 30.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e9…9886backed Yes | 60c | 30.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed No | 45c | 30.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 42c | 28.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +5.5wins | +0.32per pick | 38cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 44c | 26.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a4…28bbbacked Yes | 64c | 25.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ff…35ccbacked Yes | 56c | 21.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +139.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Juventus FC leading at halftime?this page
- Hellas Verona FC leading at halftime?Yes won
- Juventus FC vs. Hellas Verona FC: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.