UFC · resolved market
UFC: Saikumar vs. Scott
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d26713a42f5dd568840f95b0ed6e81ff6461b57ce24698c76c1361776631269
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Scott of Saikumar, Scott
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,223
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,223 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Saikumar | 24c | 680.14$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.68 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Scott | 76c | 625.36$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.84 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Saikumar | 25c | 380.55$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.05 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd48…b205backed Scott | 76c | 330$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Scott | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 367 | 55.3%203 W · 164 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Saikumar | 25c | 149.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Saikumar | 30c | 138.97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Scott | 75c | 88.66$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed0…92debacked Scott | 75c | 73.33$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Scott | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 248 | 47.2%117 W · 131 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Scott | 71c | 67.73$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Saikumar | 24c | 55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Saikumar | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 178 | 51.7%92 W · 86 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Scott | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC: Saikumar vs. Scott this page
- UFC: Cuozzi vs. JimenezJimenez won
- UFC: Exposito vs. DelanoDelano won
- UFC: Hokit vs. Uriel Hokit won
- UFC: Holmes vs. RowstonRowston won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.