MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d3286800f2412af6972ce1de6ab633e6fe5f098e08ae413747015c668bda665
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Astrosof Los Angeles Angels, Houston Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,189
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,189 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb400…1ed9backed Los Angeles Angels | 45c | 38,145$17,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,075.57 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Houston Astros | 58c | 12,000$6,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,040 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Houston Astros | 56c | 11,108$6,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,933.76 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Houston Astros | 55c | 9,459$5,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,267.45 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 6,474$2,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,719.22 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Houston Astros | 55c | 3,971$2,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,787.38 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffec…7a8bbacked Houston Astros | 58c | 3,555$2,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.1 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 55cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Houston Astros | 55c | 1,995$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.29 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…1592backed Houston Astros | 57c | 1,348$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.43 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Los Angeles Angels | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Houston Astros | 63c | 1,114$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.37 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Houston Astros | 55c | 1,095$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.75 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Houston Astros | 55c | 841.11$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.71 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Houston Astros | 55c | 727$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.15 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd33b…4e00backed Los Angeles Angels | 44c | 668.68$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Houston Astros | 56c | 343$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.92 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 47c | 300$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Los Angeles Angels | 45c | 225$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…32eebacked Houston Astros | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed Los Angeles Angels | 43c | 144.38$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.08 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +7.7wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Los Angeles Angels | 45c | 128.04$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.62 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Los Angeles Angels | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Houston Astros | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Houston Astros | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Houston Astros | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Houston Astros | 57c | 91.6$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.39 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…342bbacked Houston Astros | 57c | 88.79$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Los Angeles Angels | 43c | 68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9584…380bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Houston Astros | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Los Angeles Angels | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fce…2566backed Houston Astros | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf933…52fbbacked Houston Astros | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 44c | 47.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Houston Astros | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Houston Astros | 55c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Houston Astros | 60c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.