Mls · resolved market
Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-05-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d46b11d401ddb6f2a4420187629bd43e8f95e2c9226d75006af757bd41e137a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,270
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,845
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,270 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 48c | 3,820$1,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,988.42 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 34c | 2,948$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,945.51 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…7d29backed No | 66c | 2,273$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.4 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked No | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.97 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.57 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 62c | 1,396$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.82 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16c…a3aabacked No | 47c | 1,279$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 65c | 1,206$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.85 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 34c | 926.32$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.37 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e1…62a2backed Yes | 37c | 902.87$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.47 | 34 | 79.4%27 W · 7 L | +9.3wins | +0.27per pick | 52cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 36c | 870.91$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.17 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | +20.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 51c | 739.95$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.68 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 54c | 680.83$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.18 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 65c | 628.82$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.37 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 25c | 556$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.4 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 55c | 514.47$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.15 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed No | 24c | 504.62$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.32 | 103 | 19.4%20 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 55c | 363.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.45 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 40c | 328.73$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.36 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 35c | 257.61$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.48 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 49c | 255.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.66 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | -8.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 53c | 254.01$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.7 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 36c | 242.67$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.27 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 65c | 241.85$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.78 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 35c | 236.83$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.28 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 22c | 218.41$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.82 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5392…d2ecbacked No | 44c | 199.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 76c | 197.61$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.61 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 45c | 171.47$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.16 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 64c | 163.27$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked No | 43c | 160$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 67c | 149.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Yes | 36c | 148$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.72 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 12c | 146.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Yes | 33c | 128.02$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.27 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 56c | 117.24$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed No | 35c | 110.16$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked No | 45c | 108.36$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…3ed7backed Yes | 71c | 107.18$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.18 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 28c | 102.49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 46c | 89.09$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 44c | 85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.03 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 23c | 84.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 65c | 82$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.27 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0c…ff3ebacked Yes | 38c | 68.22$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 66c | 60.08$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 65c | 60$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 64c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765d…2e22backed Yes | 70c | 59.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 65c | 52.92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.42 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…f0b2backed Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.25per pick | 40cpaid | +98.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 34c | 47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 52c | 46.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.58 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 52c | 45.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 66c | 44.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed No | 66c | 43.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Yes | 34c | 42.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 29c | 39.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Yes | 52c | 37.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b4…2329backed No | 65c | 36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked Yes | 37c | 36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Yes | 57c | 35.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 206 | 60.7%125 W · 81 L | +19.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd09…95a3backed Yes | 75c | 32.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes | 60c | 24.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e1…30ffbacked Yes | 58c | 24.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 58c | 24.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19bd…ae36backed No | 66c | 22.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Yes | 51c | 20.37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 64c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-05-13?this page
- Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-05-13?No won
- Will St. Louis City SC vs. Los Angeles FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.