CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs fnatic (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d7144def39e4aefe39de0498e8953b2f64051950b52702587a8483611404637
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GamerLegionof GamerLegion, fnatic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,061
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,061 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked GamerLegion | 73c | 18,519$13,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,945.62 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed fnatic | 26c | 15,112$3,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,929.12 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked GamerLegion | 54c | 4,848$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,248.35 | 246 | 40.2%99 W · 147 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdad2…98c6backed fnatic | 62c | 3,804$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed fnatic | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed fnatic | 30c | 2,791$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.57 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed GamerLegion | 50c | 2,452$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.19 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.2wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked fnatic | 47c | 1,350$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.5 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed GamerLegion | 50c | 1,032$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.1 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed fnatic | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed GamerLegion | 51c | 980.38$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 199 | 60.3%120 W · 79 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed GamerLegion | 52c | 956.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.86 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…4252backed fnatic | 52c | 900$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed GamerLegion | 52c | 772.07$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.03 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed fnatic | 40c | 749.76$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.17 | 5,911 | 37.7%2,228 W · 3,683 L | +74.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked fnatic | 48c | 723.15$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.11 | 1,149 | 49.4%568 W · 581 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed GamerLegion | 50c | 696$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed fnatic | 51c | 662.56$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.15 | 761 | 50.7%386 W · 375 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed fnatic | 47c | 660.07$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.58 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed fnatic | 27c | 610.71$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed GamerLegion | 49c | 605.16$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.59 | 4,261 | 49.2%2,098 W · 2,163 L | +62.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked GamerLegion | 54c | 565.49$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.94 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3cd3backed fnatic | 43c | 552.02$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a367backed fnatic | 24c | 550$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.5 | 283 | 44.2%125 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed fnatic | 50c | 515.5$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 974 | 45.5%443 W · 531 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed GamerLegion | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed fnatic | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked GamerLegion | 48c | 499.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed GamerLegion | 59c | 469$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.29 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed fnatic | 49c | 431.4$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.12 | 216 | 39.8%86 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed GamerLegion | 39c | 414.03$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.09 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed fnatic | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked GamerLegion | 48c | 360.56$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.55 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e6…53b2backed GamerLegion | 33c | 306.06$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.06 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked fnatic | 48c | 295.45$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.57 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed fnatic | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 374 | 48.4%181 W · 193 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed GamerLegion | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb78f…c864backed fnatic | 51c | 198.14$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked GamerLegion | 53c | 157.45$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.57 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked fnatic | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 166 | 49.4%82 W · 84 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked fnatic | 41c | 134.2$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.02 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…3965backed GamerLegion | 67c | 120$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 63cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed GamerLegion | 72c | 118.18$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.18 | 161 | 50.3%81 W · 80 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb2…67c8backed fnatic | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed fnatic | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb819…cc67backed GamerLegion | 79c | 84.38$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked fnatic | 27c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed GamerLegion | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed GamerLegion | 70c | 56.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed GamerLegion | 52c | 53.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 741 | 58%430 W · 311 L | -24.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…ff19backed fnatic | 52c | 53.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed GamerLegion | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -11.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38b8…5d35backed fnatic | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 365 | 37.3%136 W · 229 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff70…2475backed fnatic | 49c | 45.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked fnatic | 46c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked fnatic | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc2…4bc8backed fnatic | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked GamerLegion | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…1f57backed fnatic | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked fnatic | 42c | 27.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 113 | 40.7%46 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed GamerLegion | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 425 | 57.4%244 W · 181 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…2844backed GamerLegion | 67c | 20.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 26 | 84.6%22 W · 4 L | +6.0wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4f58…254cbacked GamerLegion | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.