Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: GE (-1.5) vs FULL SENSE (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d813b675e06928f19d43e62c911b309a4f6d87ffebee5d5dfc7b89c5683d02e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FULL SENSEof Global Esports, FULL SENSE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,861
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,889
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,861 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba38…e406backed FULL SENSE | 69c | 20,050$13,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,215 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Global Esports | 31c | 19,990$6,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,197 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Global Esports | 29c | 10,216$2,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,958.48 | 190 | 46.3%88 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6d…08a8backed FULL SENSE | 72c | 6,001$4,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.96 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked FULL SENSE | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Global Esports | 30c | 2,254$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.5 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed FULL SENSE | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 256 | 60.9%156 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked FULL SENSE | 70c | 699.98$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.99 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed FULL SENSE | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked FULL SENSE | 70c | 418$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.4 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbdd…9ba3backed FULL SENSE | 72c | 384.98$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.84 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed FULL SENSE | 41c | 384.98$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.14 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…1903backed Global Esports | 30c | 343.23$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.97 | 263 | 54.4%143 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8660…93edbacked Global Esports | 27c | 321.58$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.83 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6170…03bdbacked FULL SENSE | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +46%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Global Esports | 28c | 257.14$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed FULL SENSE | 73c | 250.79$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.71 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Global Esports | 28c | 240$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…cd7ebacked FULL SENSE | 69c | 218$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.58 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Global Esports | 28c | 200$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 271 | 45%122 W · 149 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b4…87bfbacked FULL SENSE | 73c | 187.88$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked FULL SENSE | 72c | 180.56$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.56 | 109 | 75.2%82 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Global Esports | 30c | 169.02$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.71 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Global Esports | 30c | 155.78$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb441…f757backed FULL SENSE | 70c | 149.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked FULL SENSE | 72c | 144$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.71 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Global Esports | 30c | 103.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Global Esports | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Global Esports | 27c | 99.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed FULL SENSE | 69c | 95$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.45 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed FULL SENSE | 69c | 95$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.45 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…cd33backed FULL SENSE | 72c | 90$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 430 | 59.8%257 W · 173 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed FULL SENSE | 72c | 89.29$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…3053backed Global Esports | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Global Esports | 26c | 67.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 153 | 43.8%67 W · 86 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed FULL SENSE | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 251 | 46.6%117 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c22…6308backed FULL SENSE | 71c | 63.1$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed FULL SENSE | 72c | 63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2815…7f0cbacked FULL SENSE | 70c | 56.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed FULL SENSE | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked FULL SENSE | 69c | 30.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5a…aa7abacked FULL SENSE | 72c | 28.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…a6fabacked FULL SENSE | 71c | 21.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7832…9384backed FULL SENSE | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed FULL SENSE | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d2…1795backed FULL SENSE | 72c | 18.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ec…82d3backed FULL SENSE | 72c | 18.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed FULL SENSE | 71c | 17.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked FULL SENSE | 71c | 14.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: GE (-1.5) vs FULL SENSE (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FULL SENSE (-2.5) vs Global Esports (+2.5)FULL SENSE won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Global Esports (-2.5) vs FULL SENSE (+2.5)FULL SENSE won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Global Esports (-2.5) vs FULL SENSE (+2.5)Global Esports won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FULL SENSE (-2.5) vs Global Esports (+2.5)Global Esports won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FS (-1.5) vs Global Esports (+1.5)Global Esports won
- Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group StageGlobal Esports won
- Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE - Map 1 WinnerFULL SENSE won
- Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE - Map 2 WinnerGlobal Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.