Tennis · resolved market
Poznan: Facundo Acosta vs Hynek Barton
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d83538cdafb006de73cb204212b0648659946657b395b973b37883b73115844
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Facundo Acostaof Facundo Acosta, Hynek Barton
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,192
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,729
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,192 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Hynek Barton | 37c | 972.81$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.28 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Facundo Acosta | 63c | 799.95$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.98 | 541 | 38.1%206 W · 335 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Facundo Acosta | 62c | 731.83$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.13 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Hynek Barton | 39c | 600$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.52 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Facundo Acosta | 79c | 564.57$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.62 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Hynek Barton | 15c | 546.36$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.65 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Hynek Barton | 9c | 536.61$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Facundo Acosta | 65c | 461.72$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.72 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Hynek Barton | 36c | 389.19$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…c3b7backed Hynek Barton | 37c | 366.87$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.74 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Facundo Acosta | 65c | 295.59$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.56 | 525 | 57%299 W · 226 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Hynek Barton | 27c | 272.95$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.43 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Hynek Barton | 39c | 266.39$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dcd…232cbacked Hynek Barton | 8c | 265.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Hynek Barton | 36c | 252.72$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.33 | 2,521 | 38.4%969 W · 1,552 L | +93.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…4134backed Hynek Barton | 15c | 227.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 449 | 49.4%222 W · 227 L | +23.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Hynek Barton | 37c | 213$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.86 | 2,204 | 36.9%813 W · 1,391 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Facundo Acosta | 65c | 181.82$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Facundo Acosta | 63c | 173.43$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.17 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Hynek Barton | 18c | 168.51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 991 | 48.6%482 W · 509 L | +43.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Facundo Acosta | 64c | 149.99$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Hynek Barton | 37c | 124.79$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.17 | 1,158 | 41.4%479 W · 679 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Hynek Barton | 16c | 122.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Hynek Barton | 42c | 118.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 581 | 45.8%266 W · 315 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Facundo Acosta | 77c | 111.51$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.86 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Hynek Barton | 37c | 102.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Hynek Barton | 37c | 79.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Facundo Acosta | 62c | 78$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 1,107 | 52.8%585 W · 522 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Hynek Barton | 24c | 77.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Facundo Acosta | 63c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 996 | 49.5%493 W · 503 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe9…7af9backed Facundo Acosta | 66c | 74.21$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.21 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Hynek Barton | 37c | 56.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 170 | 46.5%79 W · 91 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Facundo Acosta | 60c | 56.08$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 1,580 | 42.3%668 W · 912 L | +18.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Hynek Barton | 37c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 2,528 | 36.2%914 W · 1,614 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50d7…f9bbbacked Hynek Barton | 22c | 50.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Hynek Barton | 37c | 49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Hynek Barton | 34c | 46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Hynek Barton | 37c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 749 | 55.1%413 W · 336 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Hynek Barton | 41c | 42.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 2,887 | 39.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Facundo Acosta | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 485 | 52.4%254 W · 231 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae63…9dcdbacked Facundo Acosta | 68c | 30.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 206 | 51.9%107 W · 99 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Facundo Acosta | 59c | 28.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Facundo Acosta | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Facundo Acosta | 63c | 16.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 316 | 57%180 W · 136 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Facundo Acosta | 64c | 15.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…a63ebacked Facundo Acosta | 77c | 15.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.46 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.