Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs Team Heretics Academy (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2da359cedeb3fb9b169c82930d46ae9a462c290d4ad7bcc03e0755fd31c32492
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Heretics Academyof Karmine Corp Blue, Team Heretics Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,732
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,732 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac75…1319backed Team Heretics Academy | 65c | 1,603$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7af0…509dbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 252 | 68.3%172 W · 80 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Karmine Corp Blue | 37c | 555$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.35 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Karmine Corp Blue | 19c | 505$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.95 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Team Heretics Academy | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed Karmine Corp Blue | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf8…94b6backed Karmine Corp Blue | 30c | 391.28$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Team Heretics Academy | 67c | 372.28$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.44 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Team Heretics Academy | 63c | 324$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.88 | 197 | 58.9%116 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Karmine Corp Blue | 21c | 234.8$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…612abacked Karmine Corp Blue | 35c | 200.29$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 440 | 46.4%204 W · 236 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Team Heretics Academy | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Team Heretics Academy | 80c | 190$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Team Heretics Academy | 63c | 103$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.11 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Karmine Corp Blue | 32c | 79.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Team Heretics Academy | 79c | 72.62$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed Team Heretics Academy | 70c | 71.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 423 | 48.2%204 W · 219 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked Team Heretics Academy | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 843 | 60.1%507 W · 336 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Team Heretics Academy | 67c | 70$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 507 | 45%228 W · 279 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Karmine Corp Blue | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Team Heretics Academy | 79c | 30.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Team Heretics Academy | 65c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b73…174ebacked Team Heretics Academy | 69c | 19.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs Team Heretics Academy (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group BTeam Heretics Academy won
- LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 WinnerTeam Heretics Academy won
- LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 WinnerTeam Heretics Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.