Fifa International · resolved market
Will Türkiye win on 2025-11-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2dd01568def1d8f8d3d748eceda4e53d240aeeeac83278e0a5417c6f1fed37c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $241,228
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $254,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $241,228 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 10c | 50,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 9c | 42,067$3,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,917.96 | 250 | 38.8%97 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 9c | 18,193$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.76 | 168 | 35.1%59 W · 109 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11be…cbabbacked No | 12c | 15,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 11c | 10,586$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.51 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 10c | 6,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 163 | 31.9%52 W · 111 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a30…b575backed No | 9c | 5,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed No | 9c | 3,762$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.33 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 7c | 3,600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 319 | 45.1%144 W · 175 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 8c | 2,579$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.03 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed No | 10c | 2,500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 8c | 2,360$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.77 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 10c | 2,200$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.98 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 7c | 1,947$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.7 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe952…bde4backed No | 10c | 1,851$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.05 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 9c | 1,548$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.67 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 9c | 1,240$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 8c | 1,217$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.39 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 7c | 1,200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed No | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 9c | 995$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.55 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x525a…7038backed No | 9c | 890$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…c770backed No | 11c | 714.28$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.57 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…0af2backed No | 4c | 600$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 62 | 12.9%8 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 12c | 439.41$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.73 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe931…138bbacked No | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed No | 9c | 376.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 243 | 44.9%109 W · 134 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked No | 8c | 337.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 169 | 25.4%43 W · 126 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 9c | 313.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 10c | 299.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 10c | 257.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…d2cbbacked No | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 10c | 241.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b5…6a22backed No | 8c | 209.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 12c | 170.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 226 | 50.9%115 W · 111 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 9c | 165.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 11c | 149.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…3e38backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…4e34backed No | 13c | 93.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Türkiye win on 2025-11-15?this page
- Will Bulgaria win on 2025-11-15?No won
- Will Türkiye vs. Bulgaria end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.