Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Incheon United FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2de19f690f67e490f6042cf65b45068893490af41ee5e60db7b2fffea17d6e3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Anyangof Incheon United FC, FC Anyang
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,297
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,297 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74cb…1688backed Incheon United FC | 23c | 1,600$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.78 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked FC Anyang | 76c | 1,333$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.92 | 729 | 44.2%322 W · 407 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Incheon United FC | 11c | 1,011$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.2 | 1,080 | 41.7%450 W · 630 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Incheon United FC | 21c | 887.56$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.08 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5e…9d93backed Incheon United FC | 24c | 799.72$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.21 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +5.4wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +54%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed FC Anyang | 78c | 719$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.53 | 723 | 42%304 W · 419 L | -29.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed FC Anyang | 80c | 248.75$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.75 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed FC Anyang | 77c | 160$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FC Anyang | 71c | 155.13$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 706 | 52.3%369 W · 337 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked FC Anyang | 78c | 155$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.83 | 139 | 56.8%79 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Incheon United FC | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FC Anyang | 72c | 134.82$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.31 | 1,319 | 56.7%748 W · 571 L | +64.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Incheon United FC | 17c | 123.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Incheon United FC | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 935 | 35.2%329 W · 606 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked FC Anyang | 77c | 72$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 905 | 44.9%406 W · 499 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed FC Anyang | 78c | 67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked FC Anyang | 78c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 450 | 52.2%235 W · 215 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked FC Anyang | 75c | 19.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 1,116 | 49.5%552 W · 564 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Incheon United FC (-1.5)this page
- FC Anyang vs. Incheon United FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Anyang vs. Incheon United FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Anyang vs. Incheon United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Anyang vs. Incheon United FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- FC Anyang vs. Incheon United FC: FC Anyang 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Anyang vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Anyang vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Anyang vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Anyang vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Anyang vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Anyang vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Anyang (-1.5)Incheon United FC won
- Spread: Incheon United FC (-2.5)FC Anyang won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.