Asian League · resolved market
FC Anyang vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8740340ccb0106fcb67f07767f4334b9b4533cb2ee83faf0ea2f2d366bb1b877
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,968
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,968 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1016…b09bbacked Over | 40c | 3,500$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.99 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Under | 60c | 1,829$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.66 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under | 59c | 760.62$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.85 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 32c | 567.13$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.44 | 843 | 42.2%356 W · 487 L | +19.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda0d…72a0backed Over | 2c | 566$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 6cpaid | +159.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 60c | 554.9$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.96 | 1,662 | 36.2%602 W · 1,060 L | -34.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 76c | 423.49$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.64 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 13c | 418$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.38 | 284 | 64.8%184 W · 100 L | +29.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa31f…2739backed Over | 25c | 307.48$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 24c | 281.71$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.61 | 1,464 | 35.6%521 W · 943 L | -33.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Under | 76c | 261.84$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.84 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 398 | 55.8%222 W · 176 L | +31.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 24c | 131.04$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 75c | 116.8$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 1,749 | 50.7%887 W · 862 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Under | 76c | 98.68$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…4f9dbacked Over | 43c | 96.14$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.03 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 23c | 79.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 24c | 58.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 762 | 39.2%299 W · 463 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 24c | 46.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf3…2286backed Under | 77c | 28.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Anyang vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Anyang vs. Incheon United FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Anyang vs. Incheon United FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Anyang vs. Incheon United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Anyang vs. Incheon United FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- FC Anyang vs. Incheon United FC: FC Anyang 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Anyang vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Anyang vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Anyang vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Anyang vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Anyang vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Anyang (-1.5)Incheon United FC won
- Spread: Incheon United FC (-1.5)FC Anyang won
- Spread: Incheon United FC (-2.5)FC Anyang won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.