Asian League · resolved market
FC Anyang vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8049ad74575d40f4eb6509482c1a367bcac1b6465ce74dc99ec92001049da190
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,118
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,315
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,118 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 70c | 1,351$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.37 | 1,749 | 50.7%887 W · 862 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed Under | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 29c | 849.28$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.29 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Under | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.95 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked Over | 57c | 678$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.65 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 71c | 585.86$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.9 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5180…9cf1backed Over | 71c | 396$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 43c | 351.84$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.95 | 723 | 42%304 W · 419 L | -29.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 29c | 344.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.93 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 43c | 333$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.19 | 729 | 44.2%322 W · 407 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Over | 71c | 280.28$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.28 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 706 | 52.3%369 W · 337 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 375 | 52%195 W · 180 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x208c…6b98backed Under | 30c | 249.4$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.82 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 62c | 242.21$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.04 | 843 | 42.2%356 W · 487 L | +19.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 38c | 242.21$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.04 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -10.1wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 29c | 120.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.02 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Under | 41c | 100.9$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a1…30d1backed Over | 59c | 94.3$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.66 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Over | 53c | 94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.18 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 72c | 90.5$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 935 | 35.2%329 W · 606 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 44c | 88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 593 | 42.5%252 W · 341 L | -28.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 70c | 82.77$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 1,126 | 46.3%521 W · 605 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf3…2286backed Under | 30c | 74.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 65 | 83.1%54 W · 11 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 71c | 68.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 1,464 | 35.6%521 W · 943 L | -33.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 59c | 62.6$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 398 | 61.8%246 W · 152 L | +56.9wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked Over | 74c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 72c | 45.73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 1,319 | 56.7%748 W · 571 L | +64.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 71c | 44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 293 | 50.9%149 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…4f9dbacked Over | 71c | 43.94$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 29c | 39.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Over | 71c | 35.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 39c | 28.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 139 | 56.8%79 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 72c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Anyang vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Anyang vs. Incheon United FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Anyang vs. Incheon United FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Anyang vs. Incheon United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Anyang vs. Incheon United FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- FC Anyang vs. Incheon United FC: FC Anyang 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Anyang vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Anyang vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Anyang vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Anyang vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Anyang vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Anyang (-1.5)Incheon United FC won
- Spread: Incheon United FC (-1.5)FC Anyang won
- Spread: Incheon United FC (-2.5)FC Anyang won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.