Euroleague · resolved market
Ningbo Rockets vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e4f2cc9bbb54e025105a3abfa5da87561eff508572a5139419745230ea4e693
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ningbo Rocketsof Ningbo Rockets, Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,526
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,049
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,526 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ningbo Rockets | 77c | 5,050$3,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.97 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 23c | 2,436$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.94 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 18c | 816.2$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.21 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ee…b517backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 60c | 486.82$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.83 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Ningbo Rockets | 52c | 483.66$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.16 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 46c | 462.77$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.87 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 17c | 418.96$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.7 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…884ebacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 22c | 417.38$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.52 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…4e11backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 31c | 407.59$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.06 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Ningbo Rockets | 51c | 383.02$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.92 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -9.3wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…ed47backed Ningbo Rockets | 63c | 342.39$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.52 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Ningbo Rockets | 49c | 285.29$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 51c | 281.76$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.65 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 40c | 279.81$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.93 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 48c | 250.51$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.87 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…306fbacked Ningbo Rockets | 51c | 233.94$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.23 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 47c | 199.96$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.98 | 114 | 55.3%63 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 17c | 147.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…1100backed Ningbo Rockets | 53c | 131.96$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.02 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 36c | 116.4$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Ningbo Rockets | 52c | 112.06$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.79 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Ningbo Rockets | 46c | 104.25$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.86 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -7.5wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Ningbo Rockets | 53c | 97.18$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.67 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 22c | 95.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ningbo Rockets | 40c | 90$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dab…a38dbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 22c | 86.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 21c | 80.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 18c | 79.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 53c | 76.46$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.53 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x304a…05ecbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 24c | 68.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585a…26ecbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 35c | 68.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked Ningbo Rockets | 46c | 63.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 19c | 56.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.19per pick | 25cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Ningbo Rockets | 54c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 19c | 53.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Ningbo Rockets | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Ningbo Rockets | 52c | 39.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 54c | 35.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Ningbo Rockets | 61c | 32.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d6…0badbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 49c | 29.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Ningbo Rockets | 53c | 27.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed Ningbo Rockets | 71c | 15.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.