CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #1 Play-In
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e9937ab6656084e949d7230866451319c53469003d97f462ed253d7935cb89c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bebopof ASTRAL, Bebop
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,613
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,612
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,613 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked ASTRAL | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.94 | 753 | 56.8%428 W · 325 L | +48.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bebop | 45c | 1,942$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.27 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf981…44b7backed ASTRAL | 56c | 1,887$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.81 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Bebop | 48c | 709.49$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.99 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed ASTRAL | 50c | 553.13$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.57 | 853 | 58.3%497 W · 356 L | +60.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bebop | 45c | 524.67$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.18 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed ASTRAL | 31c | 485.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 402 | 34.6%139 W · 263 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Bebop | 45c | 393.42$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.42 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Bebop | 64c | 271.07$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.66 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…5d25backed ASTRAL | 58c | 265$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.7 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Bebop | 45c | 262$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.1 | 246 | 41.9%103 W · 143 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Bebop | 47c | 239.73$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.31 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Bebop | 45c | 238.52$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.65 | 742 | 39.1%290 W · 452 L | -29.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed ASTRAL | 55c | 232.84$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.58 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Bebop | 45c | 221$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 1,178 | 54.5%642 W · 536 L | -36.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edd…c57fbacked ASTRAL | 59c | 220.93$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbb…75a1backed Bebop | 49c | 208.77$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.77 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Bebop | 44c | 204.55$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.55 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Bebop | 44c | 200$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.3 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Bebop | 68c | 199.49$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.65 | 231 | 72.3%167 W · 64 L | +27.0wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked ASTRAL | 55c | 199$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.35 | 492 | 45.9%226 W · 266 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Bebop | 62c | 193.96$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.32 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ASTRAL | 55c | 192.31$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.77 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed ASTRAL | 56c | 158.15$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.17 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Bebop | 50c | 145.21$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.21 | 310 | 51.3%159 W · 151 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Bebop | 41c | 140$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.6 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…3869backed ASTRAL | 55c | 139.26$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.36 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Bebop | 45c | 108.15$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.15 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Bebop | 56c | 107.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.31 | 601 | 43.1%259 W · 342 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed ASTRAL | 52c | 100.23$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1,652 | 52.9%874 W · 778 L | +60.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Bebop | 42c | 99.98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.99 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed ASTRAL | 24c | 91.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Bebop | 43c | 87.15$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked ASTRAL | 22c | 82.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 270 | 15.2%41 W · 229 L | -41.9wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…46e5backed ASTRAL | 59c | 81.15$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed ASTRAL | 30c | 75.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 256 | 34.4%88 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf52e…54fcbacked Bebop | 44c | 75.34$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Bebop | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -14.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed ASTRAL | 51c | 41.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 652 | 54.3%354 W · 298 L | +25.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6efb…9852backed ASTRAL | 44c | 33.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked ASTRAL | 58c | 28.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Bebop | 40c | 28.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked ASTRAL | 48c | 21.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 861 | 54.1%466 W · 395 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked ASTRAL | 57c | 20.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked ASTRAL | 56c | 20.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #1 Play-Inthis page
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Bebop - Map 1 WinnerBebop won
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Bebop - Map 2 WinnerBebop won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.