Tennis · resolved market
ITF M25 Idanha-a-Nova 2 Men: Matias Reyniak vs Andrea Colombo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ea73e2778083b3a17135134c88c9829ac850567bbafd6a17d1076742e5c9fba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Andrea Colomboof Matias Reyniak, Andrea Colombo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,897
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,298
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,897 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Andrea Colombo | 41c | 3,277$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,933.45 | 636 | 48%305 W · 331 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Andrea Colombo | 64c | 1,106$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.38 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Matias Reyniak | 42c | 841.5$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.39 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Matias Reyniak | 54c | 738.58$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.29 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Andrea Colombo | 63c | 464.16$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.5 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Matias Reyniak | 62c | 399.99$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.99 | 479 | 56.6%271 W · 208 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Matias Reyniak | 32c | 326$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.63 | 261 | 31.4%82 W · 179 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Andrea Colombo | 69c | 259.07$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.25 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Matias Reyniak | 21c | 255.02$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.42 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Matias Reyniak | 27c | 219.21$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.19 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd058…f4d3backed Andrea Colombo | 61c | 213.11$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.11 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Matias Reyniak | 26c | 164$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.07 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Andrea Colombo | 73c | 128.02$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Andrea Colombo | 49c | 124$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.03 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Matias Reyniak | 18c | 108.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 329 | 37.1%122 W · 207 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed Andrea Colombo | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 351 | 64.7%227 W · 124 L | +20.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Matias Reyniak | 25c | 99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Andrea Colombo | 64c | 70.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Matias Reyniak | 25c | 66.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Andrea Colombo | 76c | 65.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…fc25backed Andrea Colombo | 67c | 54.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee71…9204backed Matias Reyniak | 21c | 52.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Matias Reyniak | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 119 | 29.4%35 W · 84 L | -17.1wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Andrea Colombo | 51c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Andrea Colombo | 51c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7e…ce2bbacked Andrea Colombo | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…68a0backed Andrea Colombo | 71c | 28.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd416…0f17backed Andrea Colombo | 67c | 22.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Andrea Colombo | 76c | 18.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Andrea Colombo | 76c | 14.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.35 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.