Mls · resolved market
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-04-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2eb56163b9e8aead13f99c8df497802f4e14556b5ccd5739da85c16d1b29aad2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,642
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked No | 29c | 10,020$2,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,885.05 | 278 | 37.8%105 W · 173 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 13c | 6,767$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.04 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 77c | 4,668$3,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.31 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 73c | 4,491$3,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.98 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x665c…307bbacked No | 29c | 4,081$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.12 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 9c | 3,898$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.68 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 12c | 3,508$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.69 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 71c | 2,824$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.95 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Yes | 71c | 2,323$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.59 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 1c | 2,079$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 14c | 1,818$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.72 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Yes | 73c | 1,617$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.65 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 42c | 1,358$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.82 | 156 | 76.9%120 W · 36 L | +32.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xefa1…8a16backed Yes | 74c | 1,212$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.75 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4db9…14f5backed No | 16c | 1,199$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.03 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 32cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 79c | 1,047$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.81 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 73c | 697.19$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.95 | 190 | 73.7%140 W · 50 L | +18.6wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 78c | 600$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…3fe8backed No | 28c | 537.02$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.47 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 72c | 403.27$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.61 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Yes | 72c | 350$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 13c | 336.87$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 13c | 311.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.43 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes | 71c | 294.61$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.44 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 13c | 293.75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.19 | 222 | 63.1%140 W · 82 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 27c | 289.73$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.5 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Yes | 72c | 273.11$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.47 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…0f1cbacked Yes | 72c | 272.38$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.71 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 72c | 258.41$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.36 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…08ffbacked No | 19c | 215.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 71c | 194.86$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.55 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 71c | 188$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.52 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 27c | 157.67$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.1 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 29c | 150.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.28 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 34c | 150.49$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.57 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…5a5fbacked No | 40c | 150.23$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.82 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 12c | 149.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d55…f50cbacked No | 29c | 140.87$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Yes | 72c | 136.56$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes | 74c | 133.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 28c | 119.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 18c | 109.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…c744backed Yes | 72c | 104$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6c6dbacked Yes | 73c | 98.38$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…d99abacked No | 30c | 95.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 30c | 95.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 71c | 94.3$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.35 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3be…c163backed Yes | 72c | 89.16$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -5.9wins | -0.24per pick | 66cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…abafbacked Yes | 70c | 71.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbed…13a9backed Yes | 72c | 68.28$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 27c | 60.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.95 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Yes | 78c | 55.3$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 28c | 54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Yes | 64c | 52.76$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Yes | 71c | 45.2$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b0…5c10backed Yes | 72c | 40.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…b2a6backed Yes | 72c | 40.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Yes | 76c | 38.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9815…d785backed Yes | 73c | 33.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2709…9e3bbacked Yes | 73c | 33.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…1782backed Yes | 73c | 29.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38a7…3155backed Yes | 72c | 27.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…e944backed Yes | 72c | 27.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…8e23backed Yes | 71c | 22.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb14d…8f95backed Yes | 72c | 19.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb354…7d49backed Yes | 79c | 19.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…a24fbacked Yes | 72c | 19.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Yes | 71c | 18.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Yes | 71c | 18.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x101e…d4dabacked Yes | 71c | 16.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…f2c6backed Yes | 72c | 15.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfddc…931abacked Yes | 68c | 15.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Yes | 71c | 14.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f43…01a8backed Yes | 68c | 14.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1412…8417backed Yes | 71c | 14.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-04-25?this page
- Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-04-25?No won
- Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.