Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 4?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f1872fd8e74516fa47f80f9104bfae160840998ae6f43eb213adb68e9da3280
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,147
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,147 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e7f…44d4backed No | 7c | 3,556$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.15 | 249 | 66.7%166 W · 83 L | +15.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…4bfabacked Yes | 36c | 2,946$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa225…e27abacked Yes | 36c | 2,905$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1751…e9fbbacked Yes | 37c | 2,631$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dbe…eecbbacked Yes | 37c | 2,572$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8d…6275backed No | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a4…dc96backed No | 64c | 1,455$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…0ec1backed No | 64c | 1,450$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99cd…a298backed No | 64c | 1,446$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a9…38bbbacked No | 63c | 1,322$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab1f…e21fbacked No | 63c | 1,318$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3986…2c2cbacked No | 63c | 1,309$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4d…4ec7backed No | 63c | 1,254$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e40…f89cbacked Yes | 75c | 1,091$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.64 | 245 | 69.8%171 W · 74 L | +30.9wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1c78…42e6backed No | 10c | 747.6$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.08 | 597 | 42%251 W · 346 L | +96.8wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 11c | 726.29$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.55 | 769 | 24.3%187 W · 582 L | -16.3wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…c335backed Yes | 16c | 713.45$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.26 | 862 | 26.8%231 W · 631 L | +28.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe170…3c0bbacked No | 62c | 666.04$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.13 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b28…d021backed No | 4c | 660.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 287 | 18.5%53 W · 234 L | +15.9wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…ad4dbacked Yes | 61c | 479.28$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.28 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d9…2c8cbacked Yes | 60c | 396.32$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.22 | 576 | 59%340 W · 236 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked No | 10c | 384.51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 368 | 19.6%72 W · 296 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8518…bf6bbacked Yes | 45c | 350$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffb…119dbacked Yes | 6c | 315.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.9 | 430 | 21.9%94 W · 336 L | +22.0wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa96a…1377backed No | 63c | 311.94$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.62 | 541 | 43.6%236 W · 305 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 9c | 299.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.99 | 1,817 | 8.1%148 W · 1,669 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 30c | 285.39$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 48c | 284$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.46 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…bbaabacked Yes | 54c | 253.23$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.66 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39c0…ae83backed No | 4c | 239.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 122 | 23%28 W · 94 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 10c | 237.31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.16 | 346 | 17.9%62 W · 284 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb879…aa96backed Yes | 57c | 235.18$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.98 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…2037backed No | 5c | 230.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 31c | 215.55$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.8 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 60c | 171.53$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.48 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 14c | 168.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.52 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 17c | 150$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.5 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked No | 10c | 143.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b22…8945backed No | 71c | 137$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 253 | 41.5%105 W · 148 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 37c | 132.63$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.07 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81d1…09bdbacked Yes | 41c | 121.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.33 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b31…852cbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.55 | 257 | 42.4%109 W · 148 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 35c | 92$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.02 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed No | 37c | 90.34$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…dcebbacked Yes | 51c | 87.71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.71 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 60c | 87.39$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.38 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x372e…528fbacked Yes | 38c | 86.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.94 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca41…8486backed Yes | 44c | 83.95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed Yes | 50c | 83.95$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.98 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 29c | 80.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc2bf…5892backed Yes | 28c | 80$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…37a6backed Yes | 67c | 75.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 409 | 35%143 W · 266 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x672f…13ccbacked Yes | 70c | 71.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 330 | 58.8%194 W · 136 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b0…ab64backed No | 60c | 71.39$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 294 | 59.5%175 W · 119 L | +20.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…fb31backed Yes | 28c | 71.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.1 | 169 | 44.4%75 W · 94 L | +18.5wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 36c | 70.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6f…f5f0backed Yes | 44c | 68.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.42 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…08bfbacked Yes | 47c | 64.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.33 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad62…2aa9backed Yes | 26c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 165 | 32.7%54 W · 111 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe573…ae05backed Yes | 27c | 51.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.87 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed5…72a6backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c1…1bebbacked Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 276 | 48.6%134 W · 142 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x536d…3152backed No | 53c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 120 | 73.3%88 W · 32 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4c…8bebbacked Yes | 46c | 47.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 107 | 80.4%86 W · 21 L | +21.9wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Yes | 59c | 47.73$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1382…7820backed Yes | 39c | 46.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.36 | 147 | 36.1%53 W · 94 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…439fbacked No | 65c | 46.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 594 | 40.6%241 W · 353 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…5ce7backed Yes | 44c | 45.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 47c | 42.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 50c | 41.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…e285backed Yes | 41c | 41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 410 | 46.8%192 W · 218 L | +57.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb608…881ebacked Yes | 41c | 40.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…4415backed Yes | 32c | 39.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 34cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2150…581bbacked Yes | 34c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16cf…e3babacked Yes | 39c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 74c | 33.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 1,002 | 60.9%610 W · 392 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 37c | 32.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 63c | 31.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe14e…b7f1backed No | 66c | 30.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b66…3907backed Yes | 35c | 30.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…9ec3backed Yes | 69c | 29.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa01…b923backed Yes | 46c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…3ca0backed Yes | 73c | 24.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c9…b92fbacked Yes | 68c | 23.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 4?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C or below on March 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on March 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on March 4?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.