Other European Leagues · resolved market
CD Nacional vs. Vitória SC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f1b99ca61e462a346927f5d2446d3ae9aad0eb0e9f3a612f690488883961f66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,569
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,118
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,569 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 52c | 2,305$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.34 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 1,802$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.89 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 31c | 1,108$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.65 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 60c | 812.42$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.08 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 49c | 714.9$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.6 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 75c | 675$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 75c | 670$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.1 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 49c | 529.21$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.05 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 39c | 513.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.85 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 58c | 272.2$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.58 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 56c | 246.92$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.91 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 59c | 232.53$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.2 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 51c | 202.04$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.04 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed Over | 42c | 199.91$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.95 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 65c | 176.61$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.4 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 16c | 109.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 76c | 105.26$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 63c | 103.17$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 34c | 88.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.23 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 39c | 56.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dca…a234backed Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 56c | 39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 62c | 35.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 37c | 35.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 109 | 29.4%32 W · 77 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 38c | 31.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4d…dd64backed Under | 54c | 25.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 48c | 23.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Nacional vs. Vitória SC: O/U 1.5this page
- CD Nacional vs. Vitória SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CD Nacional vs. Vitória SC: O/U 0.5Over won
- CD Nacional vs. Vitória SC: O/U 2.5Under won
- CD Nacional vs. Vitória SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CD Nacional vs. Vitória SC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CD Nacional (-1.5)CD Nacional won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.