TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs UB Alma Mater - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
UCAM Esports Clubof UCAM Esports Club, UB Alma Mater
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,834
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$37,783

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,834 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x689c…6b1ebacked UB Alma Mater11c11,844$1,297 inLost-$1,297.4621754.8%119 W · 98 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed UB Alma Mater6c3,333$200 inLost-$20019041.1%78 W · 112 L+9.1wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed UB Alma Mater6c3,022$192 inLost-$192.432,22237.4%832 W · 1,390 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f8…ae2ebacked UB Alma Mater4c3,007$132 inLost-$132.292020%4 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked UB Alma Mater2c3,000$60 inLost-$606622.7%15 W · 51 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick28cpaid+16.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52a6…ab62backed UB Alma Mater7c1,503$104 inLost-$104.313831.2%43 W · 95 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed UB Alma Mater4c1,425$55 inLost-$54.961,37248.6%667 W · 705 L+57.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed UB Alma Mater7c1,393$91 inLost-$90.6754429.6%161 W · 383 L-35.2wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x74a8…df59backed UB Alma Mater7c1,016$71 inLost-$70.6935634.8%124 W · 232 L-19.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-7.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b7e…ef88backed UB Alma Mater6c866.5$50 inLost-$5022229.3%65 W · 157 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed UB Alma Mater6c420$25 inLost-$24.7842735.4%151 W · 276 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb04…8b8abacked UB Alma Mater6c333.33$20 inLost-$2010616%17 W · 89 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a59…aec1backed UB Alma Mater6c286.28$17 inLost-$16.9520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-70.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked UB Alma Mater7c285.71$20 inLost-$2025640.6%104 W · 152 L-10.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b8a…76a2backed UB Alma Mater6c186.98$12 inLost-$124348.8%21 W · 22 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2a8…e27dbacked UB Alma Mater11c113$12 inLost-$12.4320%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.