Lol · resolved market
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs UB Alma Mater - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fce50787cebd3754bf7fa23529c8573ef27ca63ec3c958e2b9b7cb2cc9974dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UCAM Esports Clubof UCAM Esports Club, UB Alma Mater
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,825
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,227
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,825 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked UB Alma Mater | 11c | 11,681$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.95 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed UB Alma Mater | 6c | 4,680$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.5 | 2,222 | 37.4%832 W · 1,390 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked UB Alma Mater | 5c | 3,012$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.6 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked UB Alma Mater | 2c | 3,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52a6…ab62backed UB Alma Mater | 7c | 1,261$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 138 | 31.2%43 W · 95 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56da…449ebacked UB Alma Mater | 6c | 596.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.82 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked UB Alma Mater | 3c | 490.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed UB Alma Mater | 5c | 359.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 247 | 35.2%87 W · 160 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb04…8b8abacked UB Alma Mater | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 106 | 16%17 W · 89 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602a…9a6ebacked UB Alma Mater | 6c | 242$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a8…e27dbacked UB Alma Mater | 11c | 107.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs UB Alma Mater - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: UCAM (-1.5) vs UB Alma Mater (+1.5)UCAM Esports Club won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs UB Alma Mater (BO3) - LES Regular SeasonUCAM Esports Club won
- LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs UB Alma Mater - Game 1 WinnerUCAM Esports Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.