Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: UCAM (-1.5) vs UB Alma Mater (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d9bca379f1eaf8cca455bf82fb678cc8bacd3711d3453080eca0f9873588b42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UCAM Esports Clubof UCAM Esports Club, UB Alma Mater
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8725…eb10backed UB Alma Mater | 13c | 3,062$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.01 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed UB Alma Mater | 13c | 2,726$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.38 | 376 | 47.9%180 W · 196 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed UB Alma Mater | 12c | 2,715$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.28 | 360 | 34.4%124 W · 236 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked UB Alma Mater | 13c | 2,287$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 271 | 42.4%115 W · 156 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed UB Alma Mater | 12c | 1,387$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.84 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked UB Alma Mater | 11c | 1,216$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.61 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -13.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed UB Alma Mater | 3c | 780.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 86 | 18.6%16 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked UB Alma Mater | 3c | 646.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 68 | 11.8%8 W · 60 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked UB Alma Mater | 7c | 569.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.85 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f0…9384backed UB Alma Mater | 14c | 550.36$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed UB Alma Mater | 8c | 485.56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked UB Alma Mater | 4c | 449.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 58 | 13.8%8 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +154%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed UB Alma Mater | 14c | 283$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.47 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed UB Alma Mater | 12c | 235.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 206 | 31.6%65 W · 141 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked UB Alma Mater | 12c | 231.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 256 | 40.6%104 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac42…60d1backed UB Alma Mater | 11c | 214.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | -7.8wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…9848backed UB Alma Mater | 15c | 206.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e6…59dbbacked UB Alma Mater | 14c | 204.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed UB Alma Mater | 7c | 144.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 450 | 44.7%201 W · 249 L | -29.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…60d6backed UB Alma Mater | 11c | 92.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: UCAM (-1.5) vs UB Alma Mater (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs UB Alma Mater (BO3) - LES Regular SeasonUCAM Esports Club won
- LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs UB Alma Mater - Game 1 WinnerUCAM Esports Club won
- LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs UB Alma Mater - Game 2 WinnerUCAM Esports Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.