Dota2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f90e996aca1d12ec1b00f2a31419c80890501b2e51b9b7abca627ad449c49b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,421
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,610
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,421 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Under | 56c | 544.76$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.69 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2a…a4bbbacked Over | 44c | 429.55$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…594bbacked Over | 48c | 208.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Under | 52c | 203.44$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c6…85b9backed Over | 43c | 160$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 57c | 160$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Over | 59c | 107$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.34 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Over | 49c | 97.87$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Under | 49c | 88.69$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.83 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 58c | 87.83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.68 | 222 | 40.1%89 W · 133 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 47c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed Under | 57c | 69.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4290…af07backed Over | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd36…873bbacked Under | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 405 | 39.3%159 W · 246 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…2968backed Over | 44c | 49.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 60c | 39.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +31.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 66c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 308 | 44.8%138 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 55c | 34.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 170 | 40.6%69 W · 101 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 42c | 29.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7376…7767backed Over | 47c | 29.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26f1…6d2fbacked Under | 67c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed Over | 44c | 26.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…b6ffbacked Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 69c | 17.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 98 | 35.7%35 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsBetBoom Team won
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBetBoom Team won
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBetBoom Team won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)BetBoom Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.