CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Alpha Dominion Nation vs Vitality Academy - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f9a0dd3461bf24fe850abb3e7c0d715f8d7767a60b8ba0baca8f552b87afc3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitality Academyof Alpha Dominion Nation, Vitality Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,565
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,553
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,565 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Vitality Academy | 62c | 2,250$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.46 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 46c | 922.72$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.41 | 2,520 | 43%1,084 W · 1,436 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 36c | 443.28$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.75 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86bf…a172backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 40c | 378.46$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.54 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Vitality Academy | 50c | 348.37$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.53 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 38c | 235.89$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 50c | 207$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.41 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Vitality Academy | 54c | 192.27$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.94 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Vitality Academy | 52c | 139.36$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.89 | 2,608 | 30.9%807 W · 1,801 L | -103.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 48c | 122.48$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.42 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 50c | 88.87$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.22 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Vitality Academy | 72c | 88$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 2,343 | 46.7%1,094 W · 1,249 L | -49.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 36c | 78.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 1,830 | 41.6%762 W · 1,068 L | -68.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 394 | 55.3%218 W · 176 L | +17.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…bf5cbacked Vitality Academy | 72c | 73.61$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 38c | 64.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 3,888 | 36.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L | -197.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 34c | 60.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 49c | 59.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 2,491 | 41.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L | -114.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 35c | 58.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 38c | 50.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 42c | 49.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 415 | 55.4%230 W · 185 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Vitality Academy | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 33c | 46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Vitality Academy | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 2,084 | 47%979 W · 1,105 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 42c | 39.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a3…5b70backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 28c | 37.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…49c7backed Vitality Academy | 79c | 36.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 351 | 47.9%168 W · 183 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 40c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 37c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 2,330 | 42.5%991 W · 1,339 L | -71.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 35c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 1,303 | 26.5%345 W · 958 L | -89.1wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Alpha Dominion Nation | 37c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Alpha Dominion Nation | 42c | 24.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Vitality Academy | 51c | 21.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf871…5b15backed Vitality Academy | 80c | 21.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Alpha Dominion Nation vs Vitality Academy - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Alpha Dominion Nation vs Vitality Academy (BO3) - United21 Group CVitality Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.