Tennis · resolved market
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Marko Topo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f9f2b8ae5dd771c2aa9788821b320ea40a7e300a2a3448508050a803c399747
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Federico Cinaof Federico Cina, Marko Topo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,721
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,707
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,721 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Marko Topo | 9c | 5,513$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.32 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Marko Topo | 34c | 2,637$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.49 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Marko Topo | 13c | 1,695$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.32 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Federico Cina | 70c | 1,408$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.47 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Marko Topo | 9c | 1,151$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.52 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Marko Topo | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 194 | 10.3%20 W · 174 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Federico Cina | 67c | 545.99$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.13 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Marko Topo | 35c | 499.99$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.57 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Marko Topo | 14c | 451.19$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Federico Cina | 68c | 434.79$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.13 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Marko Topo | 21c | 383.18$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.69 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Marko Topo | 14c | 361.41$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.29 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Marko Topo | 13c | 306.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.41 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Marko Topo | 32c | 296.67$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.1 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Marko Topo | 26c | 258.52$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.62 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Marko Topo | 18c | 249.32$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.81 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Federico Cina | 68c | 212.65$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.25 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1aa…9359backed Marko Topo | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Marko Topo | 17c | 173.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Federico Cina | 66c | 172.38$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.61 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Federico Cina | 69c | 152.56$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.45 | 419 | 55.8%234 W · 185 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Federico Cina | 67c | 149.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.36 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Marko Topo | 29c | 144.03$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.77 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b6…e0a0backed Federico Cina | 71c | 138.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.03 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Federico Cina | 65c | 130.81$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.58 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Marko Topo | 22c | 125.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9965…c783backed Federico Cina | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Marko Topo | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…d987backed Federico Cina | 78c | 99.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Marko Topo | 24c | 95.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Marko Topo | 25c | 84.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Marko Topo | 17c | 75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3b08backed Federico Cina | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 509 | 58%295 W · 214 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Marko Topo | 18c | 69.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…ba3bbacked Federico Cina | 68c | 68.91$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Federico Cina | 68c | 61.93$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Marko Topo | 33c | 61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Federico Cina | 66c | 53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Marko Topo | 32c | 51.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Marko Topo | 33c | 48.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…a181backed Marko Topo | 32c | 43.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Marko Topo | 32c | 41.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Marko Topo | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…8a6ebacked Federico Cina | 72c | 27.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 417 | 68.1%284 W · 133 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Federico Cina | 70c | 22.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Federico Cina | 65c | 17.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.