Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Cadence Brace vs Kayla Day
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fda3841ba05d9fac6250f7be026bbc4bea0e72274899248589b376cec367726
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kayla Dayof Cadence Brace, Kayla Day
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,223
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,346
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,223 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c50…e0c9backed Cadence Brace | 22c | 17,998$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 421 | 31.6%133 W · 288 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kayla Day | 78c | 8,832$6,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,913.7 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Cadence Brace | 19c | 2,126$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 374 | 21.9%82 W · 292 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Cadence Brace | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 541 | 38.1%206 W · 335 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Kayla Day | 78c | 1,183$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.84 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Cadence Brace | 11c | 820.53$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.79 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Cadence Brace | 14c | 600.13$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.71 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4db8…9751backed Cadence Brace | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50b9…4467backed Cadence Brace | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 380 | 33.9%129 W · 251 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb40…68b6backed Cadence Brace | 20c | 554.23$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.16 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Cadence Brace | 11c | 531.94$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Cadence Brace | 13c | 501.69$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.22 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Kayla Day | 76c | 467.29$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.15 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Cadence Brace | 19c | 460.97$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.53 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Kayla Day | 76c | 460.06$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.82 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Cadence Brace | 24c | 396.96$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.97 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cadence Brace | 10c | 336.58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…95dabacked Cadence Brace | 21c | 261.94$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.01 | 453 | 43.9%199 W · 254 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Kayla Day | 79c | 250$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 110 | 64.5%71 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Kayla Day | 74c | 243$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.63 | 439 | 52.4%230 W · 209 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Cadence Brace | 26c | 233.27$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Cadence Brace | 10c | 219.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Kayla Day | 79c | 176.62$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Cadence Brace | 27c | 165.12$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.58 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1601…e319backed Cadence Brace | 17c | 164.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Kayla Day | 74c | 159.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Cadence Brace | 20c | 137.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | -16.0wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x92c8…45f6backed Cadence Brace | 15c | 125.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 225 | 44.4%100 W · 125 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Cadence Brace | 13c | 97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Kayla Day | 73c | 96.75$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked Kayla Day | 79c | 95.43$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 219 | 64.8%142 W · 77 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…df57backed Cadence Brace | 13c | 92.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 155 | 31%48 W · 107 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Cadence Brace | 30c | 86.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Cadence Brace | 24c | 65.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cadence Brace | 18c | 63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb2…1bfcbacked Cadence Brace | 33c | 61.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 280 | 55.4%155 W · 125 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Kayla Day | 78c | 61.12$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Kayla Day | 73c | 48.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Kayla Day | 75c | 37.92$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Kayla Day | 78c | 36.07$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Kayla Day | 73c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Kayla Day | 68c | 27.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kayla Day | 78c | 16.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Kayla Day | 74c | 16.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…5cf9backed Kayla Day | 78c | 15.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.35 | 355 | 55.5%197 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb1…e1d6backed Kayla Day | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b86…5552backed Kayla Day | 77c | 14.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 45 | 75.6%34 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.