NHL · resolved market
AHL: Bakersfield Condors vs. Colorado Eagles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30802f3c9ee133fd2fdbfa27d0eacc9fab4df09034987d2486cf17aa6aab0203
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado Eaglesof Bakersfield Condors, Colorado Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,762
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,864
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,762 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed Colorado Eagles | 59c | 4,400$2,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,821.93 | 231 | 55%127 W · 104 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Bakersfield Condors | 41c | 2,358$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.17 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Bakersfield Condors | 44c | 1,090$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.24 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Colorado Eagles | 60c | 1,088$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.67 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3b…4afdbacked Bakersfield Condors | 41c | 979.63$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Bakersfield Condors | 43c | 676.99$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.9 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Bakersfield Condors | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Colorado Eagles | 54c | 370$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.2 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Bakersfield Condors | 43c | 345.18$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.86 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Colorado Eagles | 56c | 323.99$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.99 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Colorado Eagles | 59c | 291.36$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.3 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b84…6accbacked Bakersfield Condors | 41c | 204.85$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Bakersfield Condors | 45c | 203$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.58 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…6179backed Bakersfield Condors | 41c | 135$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.35 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Bakersfield Condors | 40c | 105.6$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Bakersfield Condors | 40c | 102.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Colorado Eagles | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed Colorado Eagles | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Colorado Eagles | 51c | 66.56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.61 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Colorado Eagles | 56c | 64.12$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Bakersfield Condors | 40c | 51.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 202 | 45%91 W · 111 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Colorado Eagles | 62c | 51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 416 | 50.7%211 W · 205 L | +15.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Colorado Eagles | 66c | 24.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Colorado Eagles | 59c | 22.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.