Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3181379d6a0827b9f6bcda12c233ece655cf62c47fa5204f5bcc33a4627d99f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Racing Club de Lensof Racing Club de Lens, OGC Nice
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,104
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,651
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,104 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed OGC Nice | 59c | 6,419$3,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,812.44 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Racing Club de Lens | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Racing Club de Lens | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Racing Club de Lens | 40c | 857.28$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.88 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Racing Club de Lens | 42c | 797.12$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.33 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked OGC Nice | 58c | 797.12$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.33 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed OGC Nice | 63c | 729.73$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.73 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Racing Club de Lens | 43c | 700$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed OGC Nice | 60c | 645.11$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.77 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Racing Club de Lens | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Racing Club de Lens | 39c | 230.31$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.49 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Racing Club de Lens | 41c | 214$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.26 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Racing Club de Lens | 41c | 214$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.26 | 232 | 60.8%141 W · 91 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked OGC Nice | 57c | 199.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.99 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Racing Club de Lens | 41c | 187$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.33 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Racing Club de Lens | 40c | 148.5$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.1 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Racing Club de Lens | 41c | 144$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.96 | 177 | 56.5%100 W · 77 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Racing Club de Lens | 41c | 144$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.96 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca7…1cb5backed OGC Nice | 61c | 122.95$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed OGC Nice | 55c | 112$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Racing Club de Lens | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…e9e3backed Racing Club de Lens | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Racing Club de Lens | 41c | 96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.64 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Racing Club de Lens | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed OGC Nice | 58c | 81$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Racing Club de Lens | 41c | 80$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Racing Club de Lens | 41c | 80$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed OGC Nice | 61c | 62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Racing Club de Lens | 41c | 53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Racing Club de Lens | 41c | 53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Racing Club de Lens | 41c | 53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Racing Club de Lens | 41c | 53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Racing Club de Lens | 41c | 53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Racing Club de Lens | 41c | 53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Racing Club de Lens | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Racing Club de Lens | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Racing Club de Lens | 43c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -6.6wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Racing Club de Lens | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Racing Club de Lens | 45c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Racing Club de Lens | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed Racing Club de Lens | 45c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51bd…bc56backed Racing Club de Lens | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)this page
- Racing Club de Lens vs. OGC Nice: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. OGC Nice: O/U 1.5Over won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. OGC Nice: O/U 2.5Under won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. OGC Nice: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.