MLB · resolved market
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3227412ec24f56020f230364c3c29a3f184ebb3c470c8e06a79e51599b60ac6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Detroit Tigersof Detroit Tigers, Minnesota Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,368
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,368 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Detroit Tigers | 44c | 9,606$4,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,377.96 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Minnesota Twins | 56c | 7,500$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Detroit Tigers | 59c | 3,755$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.59 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 2,624$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.64 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 2,591$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.71 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Minnesota Twins | 53c | 1,967$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.01 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Detroit Tigers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Detroit Tigers | 41c | 455.2$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.57 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Minnesota Twins | 54c | 402$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.7 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Detroit Tigers | 48c | 352$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.5 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Detroit Tigers | 46c | 294.4$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.91 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Minnesota Twins | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…5f97backed Detroit Tigers | 42c | 166.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.67 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 143$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Minnesota Twins | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Minnesota Twins | 47c | 92.56$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 82.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.98 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7d…eee9backed Detroit Tigers | 47c | 82.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.98 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 76.72$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.43 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Detroit Tigers | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Minnesota Twins | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Detroit Tigers | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c75…154abacked Detroit Tigers | 44c | 37.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Detroit Tigers | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.