CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs HyperSpirit - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x327563800839e7ccd98c34110f19bc896ba2466e36ab24961b8679911395170a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leo Teamof Leo Team, HyperSpirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,709
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,468
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,709 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked Leo Team | 67c | 2,906$1,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.55 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed HyperSpirit | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed HyperSpirit | 38c | 807.98$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.11 | 457 | 39.4%180 W · 277 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed HyperSpirit | 29c | 636.23$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.84 | 2,691 | 30.7%826 W · 1,865 L | -110.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked HyperSpirit | 29c | 542.13$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.72 | 8,058 | 50.3%4,055 W · 4,003 L | +171.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed HyperSpirit | 39c | 518.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5,911 | 37.7%2,228 W · 3,683 L | +74.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked HyperSpirit | 46c | 478.39$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.78 | 5,651 | 47.2%2,668 W · 2,983 L | +46.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked HyperSpirit | 30c | 362.05$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.02 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked HyperSpirit | 26c | 328.43$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.99 | 602 | 32.4%195 W · 407 L | -49.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed HyperSpirit | 29c | 318$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.97 | 5,400 | 31.5%1,699 W · 3,701 L | -393.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed HyperSpirit | 29c | 307.44$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.66 | 6,522 | 42.9%2,798 W · 3,724 L | -80.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d78…b8b9backed Leo Team | 61c | 246.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.16 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed HyperSpirit | 14c | 236$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked HyperSpirit | 16c | 227.07$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 3,994 | 36.5%1,456 W · 2,538 L | -207.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked HyperSpirit | 31c | 221.13$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.04 | 3,624 | 29.4%1,065 W · 2,559 L | -291.8wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d1…6194backed HyperSpirit | 31c | 180.31$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.02 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…cd9abacked HyperSpirit | 31c | 180.3$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.01 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +12.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked HyperSpirit | 37c | 144$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.16 | 2,816 | 37.6%1,060 W · 1,756 L | -138.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Leo Team | 78c | 128$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9311…e731backed Leo Team | 80c | 125.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.04 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f5…1d29backed HyperSpirit | 13c | 118$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed HyperSpirit | 24c | 117$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 2,422 | 46.6%1,129 W · 1,293 L | -56.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked HyperSpirit | 30c | 108.01$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 2,585 | 34.6%894 W · 1,691 L | -200.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Leo Team | 64c | 107.25$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Leo Team | 63c | 106$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.11 | 5,113 | 37.1%1,899 W · 3,214 L | -268.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Leo Team | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 1,289 | 22%283 W · 1,006 L | -25.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7275…8b45backed Leo Team | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -8.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked HyperSpirit | 37c | 90$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.22 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Leo Team | 66c | 78.68$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked HyperSpirit | 27c | 72.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 687 | 46.9%322 W · 365 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…9324backed Leo Team | 72c | 67.11$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Leo Team | 54c | 61.52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 4,132 | 50.9%2,104 W · 2,028 L | +72.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…bcfabacked Leo Team | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Leo Team | 67c | 56.08$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 2,441 | 42.9%1,047 W · 1,394 L | -72.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2542…7821backed Leo Team | 57c | 53.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Leo Team | 64c | 48.23$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 5,137 | 55%2,826 W · 2,311 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x372f…182abacked HyperSpirit | 30c | 39.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c4…9991backed Leo Team | 73c | 34.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc890…c2ffbacked HyperSpirit | 36c | 30.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…49c7backed Leo Team | 64c | 29.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 351 | 47.9%168 W · 183 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…4fb8backed HyperSpirit | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed HyperSpirit | 43c | 23.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 774 | 46.1%357 W · 417 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked Leo Team | 65c | 21.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Leo Team | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs HyperSpirit - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Play-InLeo Team won
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs HyperSpirit - Map 1 WinnerLeo Team won
- Map Handicap: Leo (-1.5) vs HyperSpirit (+1.5)Leo Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.