CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs HyperSpirit - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x427d37135161c692c71bf710dbc5fa477bb80d23faacc603acd1b437704f56ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leo Teamof Leo Team, HyperSpirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,045
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,824
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,045 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked Leo Team | 67c | 1,697$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.24 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed HyperSpirit | 24c | 1,339$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.73 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed HyperSpirit | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed HyperSpirit | 17c | 541.5$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked HyperSpirit | 34c | 296.44$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.21 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed HyperSpirit | 18c | 248$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.92 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed HyperSpirit | 35c | 237.6$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.16 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked HyperSpirit | 18c | 230.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed Leo Team | 70c | 216.99$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed HyperSpirit | 19c | 160$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked HyperSpirit | 38c | 149.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.82 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86ca…bc47backed HyperSpirit | 31c | 119.35$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Leo Team | 62c | 109.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked HyperSpirit | 35c | 106.83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked HyperSpirit | 12c | 90.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked HyperSpirit | 17c | 82.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked HyperSpirit | 24c | 65.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Leo Team | 69c | 56.39$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed HyperSpirit | 31c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Leo Team | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…417cbacked HyperSpirit | 38c | 31.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked Leo Team | 62c | 31.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df3…b8bebacked Leo Team | 70c | 21.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca2…1798backed Leo Team | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 152 | 77.6%118 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs HyperSpirit - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Play-InLeo Team won
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs HyperSpirit - Map 2 WinnerLeo Team won
- Map Handicap: Leo (-1.5) vs HyperSpirit (+1.5)Leo Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.