CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32b2aecd21fea3a35ca04e1a85d6e0dcc747d476456af079850c9a3620ec717a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,963
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,963 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Over | 15c | 2,234$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 357 | 45.4%162 W · 195 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed Over | 16c | 1,032$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.74 | 248 | 40.7%101 W · 147 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Over | 16c | 871.25$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.4 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Over | 17c | 839.82$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.91 | 443 | 43.3%192 W · 251 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Over | 15c | 642.05$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.31 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Over | 16c | 464.74$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.08 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Over | 14c | 421.43$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0083…80fdbacked Over | 21c | 400.3$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.06 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x341c…f86fbacked Over | 18c | 400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa033…4938backed Over | 14c | 369$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.66 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Over | 15c | 299.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 17c | 292.69$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.34 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed Over | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 280 | 52.9%148 W · 132 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab87…117ebacked Over | 15c | 269.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7f…2ae7backed Over | 23c | 237.6$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.65 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Over | 13c | 183.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 406 | 39.4%160 W · 246 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 21c | 180$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.86 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Over | 14c | 160$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Over | 16c | 125.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Over | 18c | 112.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Over | 20c | 93.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Over | 19c | 62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Over | 18c | 61.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs SemperFi Esports (BO5) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Finals PlayoffsTYLOO won
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs SemperFi Esports - Map 1 WinnerTYLOO won
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs SemperFi Esports - Map 2 WinnerTYLOO won
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs SemperFi Esports - Map 3 WinnerTYLOO won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.