CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs SemperFi Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1dd23287a9fc718233a31a8dd1daef098e46ae329e8eda5796848495af60e943
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TYLOOof TYLOO, SemperFi Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,712
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,342
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,712 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked TYLOO | 79c | 5,120$4,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.03 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked SemperFi Esports | 23c | 2,657$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.37 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed TYLOO | 76c | 1,000$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.66 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed SemperFi Esports | 24c | 831.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.18 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked SemperFi Esports | 26c | 765.34$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.36 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d42…cde0backed SemperFi Esports | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SemperFi Esports | 20c | 431.06$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.69 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked TYLOO | 69c | 387.5$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.44 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed SemperFi Esports | 62c | 359.99$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.99 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed SemperFi Esports | 18c | 344.44$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 280 | 52.9%148 W · 132 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed SemperFi Esports | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.6 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…deffbacked SemperFi Esports | 13c | 262.62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c63…3cbbbacked TYLOO | 54c | 235.25$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.06 | 461 | 65.5%302 W · 159 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4629…9dfebacked TYLOO | 47c | 212.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked SemperFi Esports | 18c | 208.25$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed SemperFi Esports | 32c | 159.84$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 334 | 48.2%161 W · 173 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed TYLOO | 72c | 131.64$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.58 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed SemperFi Esports | 33c | 120$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked TYLOO | 35c | 117.66$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.61 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed SemperFi Esports | 63c | 107.17$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.44 | 351 | 48.1%169 W · 182 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked SemperFi Esports | 45c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b8d…4b6fbacked TYLOO | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed SemperFi Esports | 61c | 74.6$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.62 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked SemperFi Esports | 45c | 67.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked SemperFi Esports | 30c | 49.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed TYLOO | 64c | 46.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed SemperFi Esports | 51c | 37.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked SemperFi Esports | 51c | 35.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed SemperFi Esports | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9b…bc2fbacked TYLOO | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…52d2backed TYLOO | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked SemperFi Esports | 64c | 18.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 230 | 38.3%88 W · 142 L | -15.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs SemperFi Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs SemperFi Esports (BO5) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Finals PlayoffsTYLOO won
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs SemperFi Esports - Map 1 WinnerTYLOO won
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs SemperFi Esports - Map 3 WinnerTYLOO won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.