CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs SemperFi Esports (BO5) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Finals Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x743573e41b1017f7502c06aa8b70139e6a6dcb4c83c6d3197e6ba880a831cf0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TYLOOof TYLOO, SemperFi Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,646
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,170
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,646 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6185…2965backed SemperFi Esports | 9c | 6,842$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95a9…4352backed SemperFi Esports | 11c | 2,363$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.7 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed SemperFi Esports | 9c | 2,283$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.18 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed SemperFi Esports | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed SemperFi Esports | 10c | 1,626$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.31 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked SemperFi Esports | 1c | 1,581$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 110 | 2.7%3 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab9…d821backed SemperFi Esports | 14c | 1,446$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed SemperFi Esports | 8c | 1,383$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.97 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked SemperFi Esports | 8c | 1,120$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6c…d38ebacked SemperFi Esports | 10c | 1,063$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed SemperFi Esports | 11c | 1,040$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.4 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed SemperFi Esports | 11c | 1,011$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…3987backed SemperFi Esports | 16c | 960.09$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.61 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed SemperFi Esports | 2c | 914.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5714backed SemperFi Esports | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 233 | 35.2%82 W · 151 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb835…2e51backed SemperFi Esports | 16c | 812.8$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.9 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f0…9384backed SemperFi Esports | 9c | 777.78$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed SemperFi Esports | 9c | 749.44$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.45 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked SemperFi Esports | 5c | 704.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.04 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed SemperFi Esports | 12c | 702.02$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.37 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked SemperFi Esports | 9c | 632.7$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed SemperFi Esports | 13c | 600.69$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.91 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked SemperFi Esports | 8c | 571.52$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3175…9805backed SemperFi Esports | 10c | 559.45$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed SemperFi Esports | 13c | 541.37$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.59 | 406 | 39.4%160 W · 246 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed SemperFi Esports | 11c | 535$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed SemperFi Esports | 12c | 514.25$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.44 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed SemperFi Esports | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed SemperFi Esports | 10c | 430.2$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed SemperFi Esports | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…e40ebacked SemperFi Esports | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed SemperFi Esports | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed SemperFi Esports | 9c | 382.89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 220 | 44.5%98 W · 122 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7f…2ae7backed SemperFi Esports | 15c | 360$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed SemperFi Esports | 9c | 320.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed SemperFi Esports | 14c | 303.07$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.43 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked SemperFi Esports | 10c | 301.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x218b…625abacked SemperFi Esports | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed SemperFi Esports | 12c | 290.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…0ae8backed SemperFi Esports | 8c | 274.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed SemperFi Esports | 9c | 265.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62d5…bc0cbacked SemperFi Esports | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 264 | 57.2%151 W · 113 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed SemperFi Esports | 8c | 237.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…40febacked SemperFi Esports | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8f…870ebacked SemperFi Esports | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked SemperFi Esports | 14c | 180$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed SemperFi Esports | 9c | 175$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed SemperFi Esports | 11c | 166.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed SemperFi Esports | 9c | 156.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a97…0a4dbacked SemperFi Esports | 9c | 155.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4105…9f14backed SemperFi Esports | 11c | 153.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked SemperFi Esports | 10c | 150.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed SemperFi Esports | 13c | 149.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 419 | 38.9%163 W · 256 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed SemperFi Esports | 10c | 130$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs SemperFi Esports (BO5) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Finals Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs SemperFi Esports - Map 1 WinnerTYLOO won
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs SemperFi Esports - Map 2 WinnerTYLOO won
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs SemperFi Esports - Map 3 WinnerTYLOO won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.