CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs SemperFi Esports - Map 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e74cde8fa373f61021f2fddc97b648308d5292e2429e1df9c4811711a1446be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TYLOOof TYLOO, SemperFi Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,261
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,261 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked TYLOO | 74c | 9,984$7,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.61 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked SemperFi Esports | 27c | 8,019$2,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,191.2 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed TYLOO | 72c | 2,000$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.88 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…cd56backed SemperFi Esports | 18c | 833.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked SemperFi Esports | 29c | 689.99$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.61 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed SemperFi Esports | 34c | 489.63$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.6 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked SemperFi Esports | 31c | 472.23$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 361 | 45.4%164 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked TYLOO | 74c | 342.62$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.01 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…fb15backed SemperFi Esports | 17c | 311.42$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.94 | 197 | 48.7%96 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…8382backed SemperFi Esports | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked SemperFi Esports | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c63…3cbbbacked TYLOO | 75c | 280.23$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.23 | 465 | 65.6%305 W · 160 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked SemperFi Esports | 31c | 265.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.43 | 262 | 45.4%119 W · 143 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed SemperFi Esports | 25c | 237.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.86 | 836 | 43.5%364 W · 472 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed SemperFi Esports | 32c | 216.41$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.25 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf709…7697backed SemperFi Esports | 17c | 206.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TYLOO | 79c | 196.64$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…198bbacked SemperFi Esports | 32c | 124$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked SemperFi Esports | 21c | 113.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed SemperFi Esports | 17c | 88.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 414 | 50.7%210 W · 204 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed SemperFi Esports | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc559…498abacked SemperFi Esports | 25c | 76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed SemperFi Esports | 21c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9b…bc2fbacked TYLOO | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe297…e484backed TYLOO | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 322 | 58.7%189 W · 133 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9146…6ab0backed SemperFi Esports | 36c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…9646backed TYLOO | 68c | 18.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 220 | 59.1%130 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs SemperFi Esports - Map 3 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs SemperFi Esports (BO5) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Finals PlayoffsTYLOO won
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs SemperFi Esports - Map 1 WinnerTYLOO won
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs SemperFi Esports - Map 2 WinnerTYLOO won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.