Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32eef6a7d22395ebcf9df050af05543389f7338e17142747d0950f4c9132b5d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,787
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,745
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,787 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 59c | 2,709$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.86 | 1,522 | 54.7%832 W · 690 L | +37.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…5478backed Over | 41c | 1,519$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.08 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Over | 16c | 1,082$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.87 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b17…d36dbacked Over | 41c | 1,046$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 59c | 761.18$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.08 | 499 | 47.1%235 W · 264 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 58c | 631.04$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.74 | 2,178 | 53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L | +61.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 471 | 36.9%174 W · 297 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Under | 58c | 219.98$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.39 | 584 | 37.2%217 W · 367 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9179…2f34backed Over | 65c | 173.05$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.6 | 376 | 62%233 W · 143 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Under | 37c | 172.78$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.26 | 706 | 41.5%293 W · 413 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 42c | 172.64$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.51 | 1,399 | 44.9%628 W · 771 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeca…a1b7backed Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b00…bef2backed Over | 46c | 156.48$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 27c | 117.84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 1,143 | 30.8%352 W · 791 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Over | 65c | 106.77$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.46 | 162 | 24.1%39 W · 123 L | -21.1wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 50c | 95.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 2,540 | 39.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L | -79.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Over | 73c | 70$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 580 | 42.4%246 W · 334 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Over | 42c | 64.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 613 | 43.6%267 W · 346 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 57c | 62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 1,182 | 44.8%530 W · 652 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…0950backed Under | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 42c | 55.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 34c | 51.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 2,020 | 30.5%617 W · 1,403 L | -172.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Over | 43c | 50.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4223…42c7backed Under | 45c | 45.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 56c | 42.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1,384 | 31.3%433 W · 951 L | -133.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Over | 40c | 40.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 637 | 51.2%326 W · 311 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 42c | 39.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 405 | 51.1%207 W · 198 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2417…86b1backed Over | 43c | 38.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 2,330 | 39.4%919 W · 1,411 L | -83.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53d7…ca8bbacked Over | 43c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 118 | 44.9%53 W · 65 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed Under | 60c | 30.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 73c | 29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 37c | 27.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 1,004 | 54.5%547 W · 457 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 71c | 27.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 1,181 | 66%780 W · 401 L | +70.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Under | 58c | 26.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Over | 63c | 26.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 381 | 48%183 W · 198 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Over | 63c | 15.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)GIANTX won
- LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonGIANTX won
- LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX - Game 1 WinnerGIANTX won
- LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX - Game 2 WinnerGIANTX won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.